LEADER 03696nam 2200709Ia 450 001 9910651210903321 005 20230725015506.0 010 $a9786613320704 010 $a1-283-32070-3 010 $a0-470-62001-3 010 $a1-118-36633-6 010 $a1-282-68804-9 010 $a9786612688041 010 $a0-470-61999-6 035 $a(CKB)2560000000012008 035 $a(EBL)543013 035 $a(OCoLC)654830928 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000423333 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11306880 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000423333 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10440227 035 $a(PQKB)10510301 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC543013 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC3058211 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL543013 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10395561 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL268804 035 $a(EXLCZ)992560000000012008 100 $a20100528d2010 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aModeling risk$b[electronic resource] $eapplying Monte Carlo simulation, real options analysis, forecasting, and optimization techniques /$fJohnathan Mun 205 $a2nd ed. 210 $aNew York $cWiley$d2010 215 $a1 online resource (976 p.) 225 1 $aWiley finance ;$v580 300 $aIncludes index. 311 $a0-470-59221-4 327 $aMoving beyond uncertainty -- From risk to riches -- A guide to model-building etiquette -- On the shores of Monaco -- Test driving risk simulator -- Pandora's toolbox -- Extended business cases I : pharmaceutical and biotech negotiations, oil and gas exploration, financial planning with simulation, hospital risk management, risk-based executive compensation valuation, and risk-based schedule planning -- Tomorrow's forecast today -- Using the past to predict the future -- The search for the optimal decision -- Optimization under uncertainty -- What is so real about real options, and why are they optional? -- The black box made transparent : real options super lattice solver software -- Extended business cases II : real estate, banking, military strategy, automotive aftermarkets, global earth observation systems, employee stock options, oil and gas royalty lease negotiations, real options and IT enterprise risk security, Basel II credit and market risk analysis, and IT information security intrusion risk management -- The warning signs -- Changing a corporate culture. 330 $aAn updated guide to risk analysis and modeling Although risk was once seen as something that was both unpredictable and uncontrollable, the evolution of risk analysis tools and theories has changed the way we look at this important business element. In the Second Edition of Analyzing and Modeling Risk, expert Dr. Johnathan Mun provides up-to-date coverage of risk analysis as it is applied within the realms of business risk analysis and offers an intuitive feel of what risk looks like, as well as the different ways of quantifying it. This Second Edition provides professionals in all industri 410 0$aWiley finance series ;$v580. 606 $aRisk assessment 606 $aRisk assessment$xMathematical models 606 $aRisk management 606 $aFinance$xDecision making 615 0$aRisk assessment. 615 0$aRisk assessment$xMathematical models. 615 0$aRisk management. 615 0$aFinance$xDecision making. 676 $a658.15/5 686 $a31.80$2bcl 700 $aMun$b Johnathan$0522724 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910651210903321 996 $aModeling risk$92042099 997 $aUNINA