LEADER 00801nam 2200253la 450 001 9910482106703321 005 20221108054926.0 035 $a(UK-CbPIL)2090324465 035 $a(CKB)5500000000088105 035 $a(EXLCZ)995500000000088105 100 $a20210618d1486 uy | 101 0 $alat 135 $aurcn||||a|bb| 200 10$a[Carmen lyricum de nativitate Domini]$b[electronic resource] 210 $aZwolle $cPieter van Os$d1486 215 $aOnline resource (4°) 300 $aReproduction of original in Koninklijke Bibliotheek, Nationale bibliotheek van Nederland. 700 $aPellantinus$b Paulus$0963960 801 0$bUk-CbPIL 801 1$bUk-CbPIL 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910482106703321 996 $aCarmen lyricum de nativitate Domini$92186036 997 $aUNINA LEADER 03442nam 2200505z- 450 001 9910557755303321 005 20211118 035 $a(CKB)5400000000045809 035 $a(oapen)https://directory.doabooks.org/handle/20.500.12854/73766 035 $a(oapen)doab73766 035 $a(EXLCZ)995400000000045809 100 $a20202111d2020 |y 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurmn|---annan 181 $ctxt$2rdacontent 182 $cc$2rdamedia 183 $acr$2rdacarrier 200 00$aTowards Improved Forecasting of Volcanic Eruptions 210 $cFrontiers Media SA$d2020 215 $a1 online resource (317 p.) 311 08$a2-88963-624-0 330 $aForecasting volcanic eruptions and their potential impacts are primary goals in Natural Hazards research. Active volcanoes are nowadays monitored by different ground and space-based instruments providing a wealth of seismic, geodetic, and chemical data for academic volcanologists and monitoring agencies. We have better insights into volcanic systems thanks to steady improvements in research tools and data processing techniques. The integration of these data into physics-based models allows us for example to constrain magma migration at depth and to derive the pressure evolution inside volcanic conduits and reservoirs, which ultimately help monitor evolving volcanic hazard. Yet, it remains challenging to answer the most crucial questions when the threat of an eruption looms over us: When will it occur? What will be its style? Will it switch during its course? How long will the eruption last? And most importantly: will we have enough time to alert and evacuate population? Addressing these questions is crucial to reduce the social and economic impact of volcanic eruptions, both at the local and global scales. For example, the 2014 eruption at Ontake (Japan) had only limited spatial impact but killed dozens of hikers; in contrast, the 2010 Eyjafjallajo?kull eruption (Iceland) did not cause any human loss but paralyzed the European air space for weeks. Several limitations arise when approaching these questions. For example, short-term eruption forecasts and models that relate changes in monitoring parameters to the probability, timing, and nature of future activity are particularly uncertain. More reliable and useful quantitative forecasting requires the development of optimized and integrated monitoring networks, standardized approaches and nomenclature, and a new range of statistical methods and models that better capture the complexity of volcanic processes and system dynamics. 606 $aPhysical geography and topography$2bicssc 606 $aScience: general issues$2bicssc 610 $aearth science 610 $aforecasting 610 $amonitoring 610 $avolcano 610 $avolcanology 615 7$aPhysical geography and topography 615 7$aScience: general issues 700 $aCaudron$b Corentin$4edt$01325566 702 $aChardot$b Lauriane$4edt 702 $aGirona$b Társilo$4edt 702 $aAoki$b Yosuke$4edt 702 $aFournier$b Nico$4edt 702 $aCaudron$b Corentin$4oth 702 $aChardot$b Lauriane$4oth 702 $aGirona$b Társilo$4oth 702 $aAoki$b Yosuke$4oth 702 $aFournier$b Nico$4oth 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910557755303321 996 $aTowards Improved Forecasting of Volcanic Eruptions$93036971 997 $aUNINA