LEADER 03157nam 2200481 450 001 9910530381903321 005 20230825114922.0 010 $a1-119-32075-5 010 $a1-119-32078-X 010 $a1-119-32072-0 035 $a(CKB)4100000007447498 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL5630247 035 $a(OCoLC)1082202981 035 $a(CaSebORM)9781119320760 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC5630247 035 $a(EXLCZ)994100000007447498 100 $a20190129d2019 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurcnu|||||||| 181 $ctxt$2rdacontent 182 $cc$2rdamedia 183 $acr$2rdacarrier 200 10$aForecasting with the Theta method $etheory and applications /$fKostas I. Nikolopoulos, Dimitrios D. Thomakos 205 $a1st edition 210 1$aHoboken, NJ :$cWiley,$d2019. 215 $a1 online resource (187 pages) 225 1 $aTHEi Wiley ebooks 311 $a1-119-32076-3 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references and index. 330 $aThe first book to be published on the Theta method, outlining under what conditions the method outperforms other forecasting methods This book is the first to detail the Theta method of forecasting ? one of the most difficult-to-beat forecasting benchmarks, which topped the biggest forecasting competition in the world in 2000: the M3 competition. Written by two of the leading experts in the forecasting field, it illuminates the exact replication of the method and under what conditions the method outperforms other forecasting methods. Recent developments such as multivariate models are also included, as are a series of practical applications in finance, economics, and healthcare. The book also offers practical tools in MS Excel and guidance, as well as provisional access, for the use of R source code and respective packages. Forecasting with the Theta Method: Theory and Applications includes three main parts. The first part, titled Theory, Methods, Models & Applications details the new theory about the method. The second part, Applications & Performance in Forecasting Competitions, describes empirical results and simulations on the method. The last part roadmaps future research and also include contributions from another leading scholar of the method ? Dr. Fotios Petropoulos. First ever book to be published on the Theta Method Explores new theory and exact conditions under which methods would outperform most forecasting benchmarks Clearly written with practical applications Employs R ? open source code with all included implementations Forecasting with the Theta Method: Theory and Applications is a valuable tool for both academics and practitioners involved in forecasting and respective software development. 410 0$aTHEi Wiley ebooks. 606 $aBusiness forecasting 615 0$aBusiness forecasting. 676 $a658.40355 700 $aNikolopoulos$b Kostas I.$01199870 702 $aThomakos$b Dimitrios D. 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910530381903321 996 $aForecasting with the Theta method$92771684 997 $aUNINA