LEADER 03256nam 22005895 450 001 9910522956003321 005 20230810173238.0 010 $a3-030-78502-5 024 7 $a10.1007/978-3-030-78502-4 035 $a(CKB)5360000000050074 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC6743245 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL6743245 035 $a(OCoLC)1281980908 035 $a(DE-He213)978-3-030-78502-4 035 $a(EXLCZ)995360000000050074 100 $a20211004d2022 u| 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurcnu|||||||| 181 $ctxt$2rdacontent 182 $cc$2rdamedia 183 $acr$2rdacarrier 200 10$aRisk Theory $eRational Decision in the Face of Chance, Uncertainty, and Risk /$fby Nicholas Rescher 205 $a1st ed. 2022. 210 1$aCham :$cSpringer International Publishing :$cImprint: Springer,$d2022. 215 $a1 online resource (83 pages) 225 1 $aSpringerBriefs in Philosophy,$x2211-4556 311 $a3-030-78501-7 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references and index. 327 $a1. Choice and Risk -- 2. Chance and Likelihood -- 3. Outcome-Yield Evaluation and Risk -- 4. Abnormal Situations and Eccentric Measurements -- 5. Situational Evaluation and Expectation -- 6. Uncertainty -- 7. Risk Assessment -- 8. Comparing Chancy Situations via Risk and Promise -- 9. Managing Risk and Uncertainty -- 10. The Social Aspect of Risk -- Appendix 1. Pearl Harbor in the Light of Rational Decision -- Appendix 2. Lessons of the Prisoner?s Dilemma. 330 $aApart from its foray into technical issues of risk assessment and management, this book has one principal aim. With situations of chancy outcomes certain key factors?including outcome possibilities, overall expectation, threat, and even luck?are measurable parameters. But risk is something different: it is not measurable a single parametric quantity, but a many-sided factor that has several different components, and constitutes a complex phenomenon that must be assessed judgmentally in a highly contextualized way. This book explains and analyzes how this works out in practice. Topics in this work include choice and risk, chance and likelihood, as well as outcome-yield evaluation and risk. It takes into account abnormal situations and eccentric measurements, situational evaluation and expectation and scrutinizes the social aspect of risk. The book is of interest to logicians, philosophers of mathematics, and researchers of risk assessment. The project is a companion piece to the author's LUCK THEORY, also published by Springer. 410 0$aSpringerBriefs in Philosophy,$x2211-4556 606 $aLogic 606 $aMathematics$xPhilosophy 606 $aFinancial risk management 606 $aLogic 606 $aPhilosophy of Mathematics 606 $aRisk Management 615 0$aLogic. 615 0$aMathematics$xPhilosophy. 615 0$aFinancial risk management. 615 14$aLogic. 615 24$aPhilosophy of Mathematics. 615 24$aRisk Management. 676 $a153.83 700 $aRescher$b Nicholas$050144 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910522956003321 996 $aRisk Theory$92594789 997 $aUNINA