LEADER 05042nam 22007575 450 001 9910495245703321 005 20250315005230.0 010 $a9783030782993 010 $a3030782999 024 7 $a10.1007/978-3-030-78299-3 035 $a(CKB)4100000011996106 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC6695841 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL6695841 035 $a(DE-He213)978-3-030-78299-3 035 $a(PPN)259467669 035 $a(EXLCZ)994100000011996106 100 $a20210809d2021 u| 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurcnu|||||||| 181 $ctxt$2rdacontent 182 $cc$2rdamedia 183 $acr$2rdacarrier 200 14$aThe Future of the Gulf Region $eValue Change and Global Cycles /$fby Arno Tausch 205 $a1st ed. 2021. 210 1$aCham :$cSpringer International Publishing :$cImprint: Springer,$d2021. 215 $a1 online resource (470 pages) 225 1 $aGulf Studies,$x2662-4508 ;$v2 300 $aIncludes index. 311 08$a9783030782986 311 08$a3030782980 327 $aChapter 1. Introduction: Factors affecting the Gulf's future -- Chapter 2. Methodology and data for assessing the effects of Global Cycles and Value Change on the Future of the Gulf Region -- Chapter 3. Covid-19 and the contours of the impending global crisis: Western meltdown, Gulf fallout? -- Chapter 4. Caught in the ?Thucydides Trap?? Revisiting Kondratieff Waves, Warfare and World Security and their implications for the Gulf region -- Chapter 5. Learning from classical Arab writers: G-Zero and the cultural aspects of changing global leadership: rediscovering Ibn Khaldun?s ?Asabiyya? with the latest PEW Global Survey and World Values Survey data -- Chapter 6. Value change and patterns of development in the rich Arab countries -- Chapter 7. Antisemitism ? the second contemporary pandemic and what the Gulf countries can do to overcome it -- Chapter 8. Saudi Arabia - Religion, gender and the desire for democracy -- Chapter 9. Executive Summary, Conclusions and Perspectives. 330 $aThis book studies values and attitudes in the Gulf region. In light of global power shifts, the threatening collapse of internal security in the West, and uncertainty about the current leadership vacuum in world society, this book explores a future leading role of the Gulf countries in such institutions as the G-20 and the OECD. Based on rigorous analysis of macro-level data and opinion surveys with relevance for the Gulf region, it analyzes the global macro-factors shaping the Gulf's future at a time of the global COVID-19 crisis and depression and rising global tensions. Starting with an empirical time series analysis of the long cycles of global politics and economics, it highlights the implications for the Gulf region. Offering a multivariate analysis of civil society values in the Gulf, the author analyzes value changes and attitudes on antisemitism, political Islam, internal security, democracy, and other issues of Arab politics. The partially optimistic conclusionsof the study testify to the underestimated and incipient maturity of the Gulf?s civil society and strongly suggest that the Gulf's future is rather with the free societies of the West and not with a Neo-Ottoman Empire in whatever form. "Exceptional in scope and right up-to-the-minute in coverage" Brian M Pollins, Associate, Professor Emeritus, The Ohio State University. "An outstanding and topical book by an astute scholar of the MENA region" Professor Hussein Solomon, Academic Head of Department, Political Studies and Governance, University of the Free State, South Africa. "The most comprehensive and insightful study on the subject to date" Manfred B. Steger, Professor of Sociology, University of Hawai'i at Manoa and Global Professorial Fellow, Western Sydney University. 410 0$aGulf Studies,$x2662-4508 ;$v2 606 $aMiddle East$xPolitics and government 606 $aEconomic history 606 $aPolitical sociology 606 $aReligion and sociology 606 $aReligion and politics 606 $aStatistics 606 $aMiddle Eastern Politics 606 $aEconomy-wide Country Studies 606 $aPolitical Sociology 606 $aSociology of Religion 606 $aPolitics and Religion 606 $aApplied Statistics 615 0$aMiddle East$xPolitics and government. 615 0$aEconomic history. 615 0$aPolitical sociology. 615 0$aReligion and sociology. 615 0$aReligion and politics. 615 0$aStatistics. 615 14$aMiddle Eastern Politics. 615 24$aEconomy-wide Country Studies. 615 24$aPolitical Sociology. 615 24$aSociology of Religion. 615 24$aPolitics and Religion. 615 24$aApplied Statistics. 676 $a956.054 700 $aTausch$b Arno$f1951-$0450273 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910495245703321 996 $aThe Future of the Gulf Region$92035873 997 $aUNINA