LEADER 03199nam 2200517 450 001 9910483200403321 005 20230421142647.0 010 $a3-030-69500-X 024 7 $a10.1007/978-3-030-69500-2 035 $a(CKB)4100000011912183 035 $a(DE-He213)978-3-030-69500-2 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC6587444 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL6587444 035 $a(OCoLC)1250076175 035 $a(PPN)255887280 035 $a(EXLCZ)994100000011912183 100 $a20220113d2021 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurnn#008mamaa 181 $ctxt$2rdacontent 182 $cc$2rdamedia 183 $acr$2rdacarrier 200 10$aParticle emission concept and probabilistic consideration of the development of infections in systems $edynamics from logarithm and exponent in the infection process, percolation effects /$fMarcus Hellwig 205 $a1st ed. 2021. 210 1$aCham, Switzerland :$cSpringer,$d[2021] 210 4$d©2021 215 $a1 online resource (XIII, 110 p. 95 illus., 93 illus. in color.) 311 $a3-030-69499-2 327 $aTrends in the spread of infections, distribution and contact rates -- Addition of the 4th parameter kurtosis to the density Eqb -- Prediction using the density function and continuous adjustment of the parameters -- Basics for exponential propagation, the logarithm of historical data -- Developments in the USA -- Incidence under probabilistic aspects -- On the percolation theory COVID -- Examples of percolation effects. 330 $aThe book describes the possibility of making a probabilistic prognosis, which uses the mean n-day logarithm of case numbers in the past to determine an exponent for a probability density for a prognosis, as well as the particle emission concept, which is derived from contact and distribution rates that increase the exponent of the probable development to the extent that a group of people can be formed. The content Trends in the spread of infections, distribution and contact rates Addition of the 4th parameter kurtosis to the density Eqb Prediction using the density function and continuous adjustment of the parameters Basics for exponential propagation, the logarithm of historical data Developments in the USA Incidence under probabilistic aspects On the percolation theory COVID Examples of percolation effects The target groups Management of health resources and services, virology, students, statisticians The author Marcus Hellwig is quality manager according to qualification by the German Society for Quality DGQ and author of reference books. 606 $aEpidemiology$xStatistical methods 606 $aEpidemiologia$2thub 606 $aEstadística matemàtica$2thub 608 $aLlibres electrònics$2thub 615 0$aEpidemiology$xStatistical methods. 615 7$aEpidemiologia 615 7$aEstadística matemàtica 676 $a614.4072 700 $aHellwig$b Marcus$0897315 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910483200403321 996 $aParticle emission concept and probabilistic consideration of the development of infections in systems$92230326 997 $aUNINA