LEADER 03659nam 2200625 a 450 001 9910464827603321 005 20170821160800.0 010 $a1-4623-4976-5 010 $a1-4519-8528-2 010 $a1-283-51270-X 010 $a1-4519-1311-7 010 $a9786613825155 035 $a(CKB)3360000000443507 035 $a(EBL)1605780 035 $a(SSID)ssj0001479161 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11880602 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0001479161 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)11482730 035 $a(PQKB)10321022 035 $a(OCoLC)568151130 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC1605780 035 $a(EXLCZ)993360000000443507 100 $a20090806d2007 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aModeling inflation for Mali$b[electronic resource] /$fprepared by Mame Astou Diouf 210 $a[Washington, D.C.?] $cInternational Monetary Fund$d2007 215 $a1 online resource (36 p.) 225 1 $aIMF working paper ;$vWP/07/295 300 $a"December 2007." 300 $aAt head of title: African Department. 311 $a1-4518-6858-8 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 17-18). 327 $aContents; I. Introduction; II. Background; III. The Model; IV. Data and Estimation; V. Conclusion; References; Appendix; Figures; A.1: M ali: Food Price and Consumer Price Indexes, 1988:1-2006:5; A.2: Mali: Annual Rate of Inflation, 1971-2005; A.3: Mali: Inflation and Rainfall, 1979:1-2006:1; A.4: Mali: Money, Income, Interest Rates and Exchange Rate, 1979:1-2006:1; A.5: Mali: Domestic and Foreign Prices, Exchange Rate and Terms of Trade, 1979:1-2006:1; A.6: Mali: Cointegrating Vectors for the Money Market and the Foreign Sectors, 1982:2-2006:1 327 $aA.7. Mali: Inflation Model: Recursive Estimates, 1992:2-2006:1A.8. Mali: Inflation Model: One-Step Residual and Chow Stability Tests, 1992:2-2006:1; A.9. Mali: Inflation Model: Actual, Predicted and Residual, 1987:2-2006:1; Tables; A.1: Mali: Selected Financial, Economic, and climatic indicators, 1979-2005; A.2: Mali: A Sample Descriptive Statistics of Variables, 1979:1-2006:1; A.3: Mali: Correlation Between Selected Variables, 1979:1-2006:1; A.4: Mali: ADF Test for Unit-Root, 1979:1-2006:1; A.5: Mali: Cointegration Analysis of the Broad Money Demand, 1979:1-2006:1 327 $aA.6. Mali: The Determinants of Inflation, 1987:2-2006:1A.7. Mali: Diagnostic Tests for Omitted Variables, 1987:2-2006:1 330 $aThis paper investigates how consumer price inflation is determined in Mali for 1979-2006 along three macroeconomic explanations: (1) monetarist theories, emphasizing the impact of excess money supply, (2) the structuralist hypothesis, stressing the impact of supply-side constraints, and (3) external theories, describing the effects of foreign transmission mechanisms on a small open economy. The analysis makes use of cointegration techniques and general-to-specific modeling. Average national rainfall, and to a lesser extent deviations from monetary and external sector equilibrium are found to b 410 0$aIMF working paper ;$vWP/07/295. 606 $aConsumer price indexes$zMali 606 $aInflation (Finance)$zMali 608 $aElectronic books. 615 0$aConsumer price indexes 615 0$aInflation (Finance) 700 $aDiouf$b Mame Astou$0979728 712 02$aInternational Monetary Fund.$bAfrican Dept. 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910464827603321 996 $aModeling inflation for Mali$92292836 997 $aUNINA