LEADER 03587nam 2200565Ia 450 001 9910464590303321 005 20200619170436.0 010 $a1-4623-0127-4 010 $a1-4527-7124-3 010 $a1-282-84468-7 010 $a9786612844683 010 $a1-4518-7426-X 035 $a(CKB)3390000000010771 035 $a(EBL)1606018 035 $a(OCoLC)680613499 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC1606018 035 $a(EXLCZ)993390000000010771 100 $a20100906d2009 uf 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 200 10$aExchange rate assessments$b[electronic resource] $emethodologies for oil exporting countries /$fRudolfs Bems and Irineu de Carvalho Filho 210 $a[Washington, D.C.] $cInternational Monetary Fund, Research Department$dc2009 215 $a1 online resource (37 p.) 225 1 $aIMF working paper ;$vWP/09/281 300 $a"December 2009." 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references. 327 $aContents; I. Introduction; Figures; 1. Current Account Behavior for Oil Exporters; 2. Oil Dependency and Volatility, 1970-2006; II. Price Based Methodologies; A. Regression model setup; B. Econometric results; C. Robustness; D. Implementation; Tables; 1. ERER Regression: Long-Run Coefficients (1980-2007); III. Quantity Based Methodologies; 2. Determinants of the Current Account in the Medium-Run: 1969-2007; IV. Balance Sheet-Based Methodologies; A. Theoretical Background; B. Allocation Rules; C. Determinants of Current Account Balances; D. Implementation; Text Tables 327 $a3. Time-series Data for the Dynamic ES Exercise4. NFA-Stabilizing CA Balances under Various ES Specification; 3. Evolution of NFA under Various ES Specification; V. Concluding Remarks; References; Appendices; 1. Implementation of Quality-Based Approaches to Real Exchange Rate Assessment; 2. Unit Root and Cointegration Tests; Appendices Tables; 1. A. Unit Root Test on Real Exchange Rate and Fundamentals (1980-2007); B. Panel Unit Root Tests; 2. Panel Cointegration Tests; 3. Sample Composition 330 $aAre the current account fluctuations in oil-exporting countries ""excessive""? How should their real exchange rate respond to the evolution of external (and domestic) fundamentals? This paper proposes methodologies tailored to the specific features of oil-exporting countries that help address these questions. Price-based methodologies (based on the time series of real effective exchange rates) identify a strong link between the real exchange rate and the terms of trade, but have relatively limited explanatory power. On the other hand, an empirical model of the current account, which fits oil e 410 0$aIMF working paper ;$vWP/09/281. 606 $aForeign exchange administration$zAfrica, Sub-Saharan 606 $aForeign exchange$xAccounting$zAfrica, Sub-Saharan 606 $aFiscal policy$zAfrica, Sub-Saharan 606 $aPetroleum industry and trade$zAfrica, Sub-Saharan 607 $aAfrica, Sub-Saharan$xEconomic policy 608 $aElectronic books. 615 0$aForeign exchange administration 615 0$aForeign exchange$xAccounting 615 0$aFiscal policy 615 0$aPetroleum industry and trade 700 $aBems$b Rudolfs$0893809 701 $aCarvalho Filho$b Irineu E$g(Irineu Evangelista),$f1971-$0869958 712 02$aInternational Monetary Fund.$bResearch Dept. 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910464590303321 996 $aExchange rate assessments$91996482 997 $aUNINA