LEADER 03327nam 2200649 a 450 001 9910464572403321 005 20170817212431.0 010 $a1-4623-2557-2 010 $a1-4527-5719-4 010 $a1-283-51495-8 010 $a9786613827401 010 $a1-4519-1022-3 035 $a(CKB)3360000000443668 035 $a(EBL)1608469 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000948699 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11602671 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000948699 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10950171 035 $a(PQKB)11651066 035 $a(OCoLC)535146981 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC1608469 035 $a(EXLCZ)993360000000443668 100 $a20090811d2007 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aYemen$b[electronic resource] $eexchange rate policy in the face of dwindling oil exports /$fprepared by Saade Chami ... [et. al.] 210 $a[Washington, D.C.] $cInternational Monetary Fund$d2007 215 $a1 online resource (24 p.) 225 1 $aIMF working paper ;$vWP/07/5 300 $a"January 2007." 311 $a1-4518-6569-4 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 21-22). 327 $aContents; I. Introduction; II. Background and Macroeconomic Outlook; Figures; 1. Exchange Rate and Inflation Developments, January 1998-June 2006; III. Estimating the Equilibrium Exchange Rate; 2. Yemen and GCC Countries, Real Effective Exchange Rates, January 1995-June 2006; IV. Equilibrium Exchange Rate in Yemen; A. Data and variables; 3. Real Effective Exchange Rate and its Key Determinants; B. Methodology; C. Econometric Results; Tables; 1. Selected Results of the VEC; D. Equilibrium (long-run) Relationship; E. Impact of Declining Oil Production on the REER 327 $aF. Impact on the Nominal Exchange Rate: An Illustrative ExerciseV. Exchange Rate Regime Options; 4. Yemeni Rial-Daily Exchange Rate Versus U.S. Dollar, January-August 2006; VI. Conclusions; Appendix; 1. Variables; References 330 $aThis paper investigates the likely implications of declining oil production on Yemen's equilibrium exchange rate, and discusses policy options to ensure a smooth transition to a nonoil economy. The empirical results suggest that, as oil production and foreign exchange earnings fall, the Yemeni rial will have to adjust downward in real effective terms to keep pace with the equilibrium exchange rate. In light of strong pass-through from exchange rate depreciation to domestic inflation, this could entail a substantial depreciation in nominal terms. Given the nature of the adjustment, a floating e 410 0$aIMF working paper ;$vWP/07/5. 606 $aForeign exchange rates$zYemen (Republic) 606 $aPetroleum industry and trade$zYemen (Republic) 606 $aExports$zYemen (Republic) 608 $aElectronic books. 615 0$aForeign exchange rates 615 0$aPetroleum industry and trade 615 0$aExports 676 $a339.4 676 $a339.43 700 $aChami$b Saade$0856867 712 02$aInternational Monetary Fund.$bMiddle East and Central Asia Dept. 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910464572403321 996 $aYemen$91913643 997 $aUNINA