LEADER 03526nam 2200517 450 001 9910464565803321 005 20200520144314.0 010 $a0-309-26527-4 035 $a(CKB)3710000000103195 035 $a(EBL)3379052 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000789123 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)12407070 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000789123 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10723799 035 $a(PQKB)10238707 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC3379052 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL3379052 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10863699 035 $a(OCoLC)923289393 035 $a(EXLCZ)993710000000103195 100 $a20130619d2012 uy| 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurcnu|||||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aSeasonal to decadal predictions of arctic sea ice $echallenges and strategies /$fCommittee on the Future of Arctic Sea Ice Research in Support of Seasonal to Decadal Prediction, Polar Research Board, Division on Earth and Life Studies, National Research Council of the National Academies 210 1$aWashington, District of Columbia :$cNational Academies Press,$d2012. 215 $a1 online resource (92 p.) 300 $aDescription based upon print version of record. 311 $a0-309-26526-6 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references. 327 $aIntroduction -- Gaps in our understanding -- Strategies for the future. 330 $a"Recent well documented reductions in the thickness and extent of Arctic sea ice cover, which can be linked to the warming climate, are affecting the global climate system and are also affecting the global economic system as marine access to the Arctic region and natural resource development increase. Satellite data show that during each of the past six summers, sea ice cover has shrunk to its smallest in three decades. The composition of the ice is also changing, now containing a higher fraction of thin first-year ice instead of thicker multi-year ice. Understanding and projecting future sea ice conditions is important to a growing number of stakeholders, including local populations, natural resource industries, fishing communities, commercial shippers, marine tourism operators, national security organizations, regulatory agencies, and the scientific research community. However, gaps in understanding the interactions between Arctic sea ice, oceans, and the atmosphere, along with an increasing rate of change in the nature and quantity of sea ice, is hampering accurate predictions. Although modeling has steadily improved, projections by every major modeling group failed to predict the record breaking drop in summer sea ice extent in September 2012. Establishing sustained communication between the user, modeling, and observation communities could help reveal gaps in understanding, help balance the needs and expectations of different stakeholders, and ensure that resources are allocated to address the most pressing sea ice data needs. Seasonal-to-Decadal Predictions of Arctic Sea Ice: Challenges and Strategies explores these topics."--Publisher's description. 606 $aSea ice$zArctic regions$xForecasting 608 $aElectronic books. 615 0$aSea ice$xForecasting. 676 $a551.69 712 02$aNational Research Council (U.S.).$bPolar Research Board, 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910464565803321 996 $aSeasonal to decadal predictions of arctic sea ice$91995581 997 $aUNINA