LEADER 03749nam 2200673 450 001 9910464350403321 005 20210515004348.0 010 $a0-231-53594-5 024 7 $a10.7312/davi16622 035 $a(CKB)2670000000499837 035 $a(EBL)1574750 035 $a(SSID)ssj0001111327 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)12444633 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0001111327 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)11130464 035 $a(PQKB)11111981 035 $a(StDuBDS)EDZ0000648991 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC1574750 035 $a(DE-B1597)458779 035 $a(OCoLC)979745618 035 $a(DE-B1597)9780231535946 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL1574750 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10839062 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL574571 035 $a(OCoLC)867926171 035 $a(EXLCZ)992670000000499837 100 $a20140305h20142014 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurun#---|u||u 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aAnticipating a nuclear Iran $echallenges for U.S. security /$fJacquelyn K. Davis and Robert L. Pfaltzgraff Jr ; Noah Arlow, jacket design 210 1$aNew York :$cColumbia University Press,$d2014. 210 4$d©2014 215 $a1 online resource (241 p.) 300 $aIncludes index. 311 $a0-231-16622-2 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references and index. 327 $tFront matter --$tCONTENTS --$tTABLES AND BOXES --$tPREFACE --$t1. Introduction: Setting the Scene for Iran's Emergence as a Nuclear Power --$t2. The Deterrence Dynamics of an Iran with Nuclear Weapons --$t3. Considerations Influencing Iran's Nuclear Emergence --$t4. Nuclear Weapons Operationalization: What Type of Nuclear Force? --$t5. Implications for U.S. Strategic and Operational Planning --$t6. U.S. Deterrence Planning in the Event of an Iranian Nuclear Breakout --$t7. Dealing with a Nuclear Iran and Asymmetric Challenges --$t8. U.S. Deterrence Planning and Iran --$tNOTES --$tINDEX 330 $aThis volume is based on the assumption that Iran will soon obtain nuclear weapons, and Jacquelyn K. Davis and Robert L. Pfaltzgraff Jr. develop alternative models for assessing the challenges of a nuclear Iran for U.S. security. Through three scenario models, the book explores the political, strategic, and operational challenges facing the United States in a post-Cold War world. The authors concentrate on the type of nuclear capability Iran might develop; the conditions under which Iran might resort to threatened or actual weapons use; the extent to which Iran's military strategy and declaratory policy might embolden Iran and its proxies to pursue more aggressive policies in the region and vis-à-vis the United States; and Iran's ability to transfer nuclear materials to others within and outside the region, possibly sparking a nuclear cascade. Drawing on recent post-Cold War deterrence theory, the authors consider Iran's nuclear ambitions as they relate to its foreign policy objectives, domestic politics, and role in the Islamic world, and they suggest specific approaches to improve U.S. defense and deterrence planning. 606 $aNuclear weapons$zIran 607 $aIran$xMilitary policy 607 $aIran$xPolitics and government$y1997- 607 $aIran$xForeign relations$y1997- 607 $aUnited States$xRelations$zIran 608 $aElectronic books. 615 0$aNuclear weapons 676 $a355.02/170955 700 $aDavis$b Jacquelyn K$01036361 701 $aPfaltzgraff$b Robert L$0278752 701 $aArlow$b Noah$01036362 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910464350403321 996 $aAnticipating a nuclear Iran$92456643 997 $aUNINA