LEADER 03320nam 2200601 a 450 001 9910464002203321 005 20170817212540.0 010 $a1-4623-8001-8 010 $a1-4527-8137-0 010 $a1-4518-7002-7 010 $a1-282-84095-9 010 $a9786612840951 035 $a(CKB)3170000000055038 035 $a(EBL)1607890 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000943268 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11523888 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000943268 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10977403 035 $a(PQKB)11311479 035 $a(OCoLC)568151216 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC1607890 035 $a(EXLCZ)993170000000055038 100 $a20090810d2008 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aSudden stops and optimal self-insurance$b[electronic resource] /$fprepared by Jun Il Kim 210 $aWashington, D.C. $cInternational Monetary Fund, Research Dept.$d2008 215 $a1 online resource (36 p.) 225 1 $aIMF working paper ;$vWP/08/144 300 $a"June 2008." 311 $a1-4519-1455-5 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 34). 327 $aContents; I. Introduction; II. The Model; III. Model Calibration; IV. Concluding Remarks; Text Tables; 1. Actual and Calibrated Optimal Reserves for Selected EM Countries: 1993-2006; 2. Implied Probability of a Sudden Stop for Selected EM Countries: 1994-2007; 3. IMF Arrangements for Selected EM Countries: 1993-2006; Text Figures; 1. Actual and Calibrated Optimal Reserves for Selected EM Countries: 1993-; A. Latin America; B. Asia, Russia and Turkey; 2. Implied Probability of a Sudden Stop for Selected EM Countries: 1994-; A. Latin America; B. Asia, Russia and Turkey 327 $a3. Actual ? and Default Threshold ?* for Selected EM Countries: 1993-A. Latin America; B. Asia, Russia and Turkey; 4. Sources of Reserve Accumulation for Selected EM Countries: 1993-; A. Latin America; B. Asia, Russia and Turkey; Appendix: Creditor Coordination Problem; References 330 $aThis paper presents a simple model of optimal reserves that can be easily calibrated to compute optimal reserves as well as the implied probability of a sudden stop for given reserves. The model builds upon the global games framework of Morris and Shin to establish a unique relationship between the probability of a sudden stop and the level of reserves. The calibration results for 15 selected emerging market countries in Latin America, Asia and other regions over the sample period of 1993-2006 suggest that the risk of sudden stops may have declined to a low level in recent years in all countri 410 0$aIMF working paper ;$vWP/08/144. 606 $aBank reserves$zDeveloping countries$xEconometric models 606 $aFinancial crises$zDeveloping countries$xEconometric models 608 $aElectronic books. 615 0$aBank reserves$xEconometric models. 615 0$aFinancial crises$xEconometric models. 700 $aKim$b Jun$g(Jun Il)$0869954 712 02$aInternational Monetary Fund.$bResearch Dept. 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910464002203321 996 $aSudden stops and optimal self-insurance$92292177 997 $aUNINA