LEADER 03493nam 2200673 450 001 9910463618503321 005 20170815101946.0 010 $a1-4623-1341-8 010 $a1-4527-4908-6 010 $a1-4518-7024-8 010 $a1-282-84117-3 010 $a9786612841170 035 $a(CKB)3170000000055071 035 $a(EBL)1607942 035 $a(SSID)ssj0001477988 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11892589 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0001477988 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)11453221 035 $a(PQKB)10440308 035 $a(OCoLC)761928073 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC1607942 035 $a(EXLCZ)993170000000055071 100 $a20140227h20082008 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 14$aThe information content of money in forecasting euro area inflation /$fHelge Berger and Emil Stavrev ; authorized for distribution by Jo?rg Decressin 210 1$a[Washington, District of Columbia] :$cInternational Monetary Fund,$d2008. 210 4$dİ2008 215 $a1 online resource (31 p.) 225 1 $aIMF Working Papers 225 0$aIMF working paper ;$vWP/08/166 300 $aDescription based upon print version of record. 311 $a1-4519-1477-6 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references. 327 $aContents; I. Introduction; II. Related Literature; III. Models of Inflation; A. DSGE Models; B. Partial Equilibrium Models; C. Empirical Models; IV. Empirical Methods and Data; A. Estimation Techniques; B. Prior Distribution of Parameters for the Bayesian Estimates; C. Forecasting and the Information Content of Money; D. Data; V. Results; A. The Marginal Contribution of Money; Figures; 1. Forecast Performance of DSGE Models; 2. Forecast Performance of Empirical Models; 3. Forecast Performance of P* and Phillips Curve Models; B. Comparison of Money-Based Models; C. Comparison Across All Models 327 $aTables1. Out-of-Sample Forecasting Performance of Models; VI. Conclusions; References; Appendices; I. Empirical Specifications; II. Bayesian Priors 330 $aThis paper contributes to the debate on the role of money in monetary policy by analyzing the information content of money in forecasting euro-area inflation. We compare the predictive performance within and among various classes of structural and empirical models in a consistent framework using Bayesian and other estimation techniques. We find that money contains relevant information for inflation in some model classes. Money-based New Keynesian DSGE models and VARs incorporating money perform better than their cashless counterparts. But there are also indications that the contribution of mon 410 0$aIMF Working Papers 606 $aMonetary policy$xEconometric models 606 $aMoney$xEconometric models 606 $aInflation (Finance)$xForecasting$xEconometric models 608 $aElectronic books. 615 0$aMonetary policy$xEconometric models. 615 0$aMoney$xEconometric models. 615 0$aInflation (Finance)$xForecasting$xEconometric models. 676 $a332.46 700 $aBerger$b Helge$0857877 701 $aStavrev$b Emil$0857610 701 $aDecressin$b Jo?rg$0860299 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910463618503321 996 $aThe information content of money in forecasting euro area inflation$91919622 997 $aUNINA LEADER 03575nam 22006615 450 001 9910897989403321 005 20251113175831.0 010 $a9789819751389 010 $a9819751381 024 7 $a10.1007/978-981-97-5138-9 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC31731500 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL31731500 035 $a(CKB)36364739900041 035 $a(DE-He213)978-981-97-5138-9 035 $a(EXLCZ)9936364739900041 100 $a20241017d2024 u| 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurcnu|||||||| 181 $ctxt$2rdacontent 182 $cc$2rdamedia 183 $acr$2rdacarrier 200 10$aAcross the Seas in Prehistoric Northeast Asia $eObsidian as a Commodity for the Study of Human Migrations /$fby Yaroslav Kuzmin 205 $a1st ed. 2024. 210 1$aSingapore :$cSpringer Nature Singapore :$cImprint: Springer,$d2024. 215 $a1 online resource (142 pages) 225 1 $aThe Science of Human History in Asia and the Pacific,$x2522-8889 ;$v2 311 08$a9789819751372 311 08$a9819751373 327 $aObsidian as a Commodity for Studying Prehistoric Migrations, Contacts, and Exchange -- Current Methods of Obsidian Provenance and Exchange Studies -- Basic Information on Prehistoric Cultural Complexes in Northeast Asia -- Obsidian Sourcing in the Southern Russian Far East -- Obsidian Sourcing in Korea and Northeast China. 330 $aThis book provides the current knowledge on prehistoric human contacts and migrations in Northeast Asia (consisting of far eastern Russia, Northeastern Siberia, Korea, Northeast China, and Japan), using obsidian as a commodity. The aim of this book is to reconstruct the patterns of prehistoric exchange and human movements in the Upper Palaeolithic and Neolithic of Northeast Asia. The proposed book is the first comprehensive summary of obsidian provenance and issues related to prehistoric human contacts/migrations and early seafaring in Northeast Asia. The particular importance of this book is that obsidian is used as a commodity to establish the movements of ancient people that is almost impossible to do using traditional archaeological approaches. The book contains updated information on the vast region with a multitude of obsidian sources and artefacts, based on the author?s first-hand knowledge generated in the last 30+ years. It makes this book a unique source of information derived from Russian, Japanese, Korean, and Chinese publications (as well as English summaries) for comparison between different parts of Northeast Asia. 410 0$aThe Science of Human History in Asia and the Pacific,$x2522-8889 ;$v2 606 $aPrehistoric peoples 606 $aUnderwater archaeology 606 $aCultural property 606 $aArchaeology 606 $aEnvironmental archaeology 606 $aPrehistoric Archaeology 606 $aMaritime Archaeology 606 $aArchaeology and Heritage 606 $aEnvironmental Archaeology 615 0$aPrehistoric peoples. 615 0$aUnderwater archaeology. 615 0$aCultural property. 615 0$aArchaeology. 615 0$aEnvironmental archaeology. 615 14$aPrehistoric Archaeology. 615 24$aMaritime Archaeology. 615 24$aArchaeology and Heritage. 615 24$aEnvironmental Archaeology. 676 $a930.1 700 $aKuzmin$b Yaroslav$01767109 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910897989403321 996 $aAcross the Seas in Prehistoric Northeast Asia$94211940 997 $aUNINA