LEADER 03973nam 2200625Ia 450 001 9910462798403321 005 20211027232708.0 010 $a0-674-07602-8 010 $a0-674-07598-6 024 7 $a10.4159/harvard.9780674075986 035 $a(CKB)2670000000368510 035 $a(EBL)3301313 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000886816 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11548578 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000886816 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10835556 035 $a(PQKB)10243512 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC3301313 035 $a(DE-B1597)209758 035 $a(OCoLC)843880768 035 $a(OCoLC)853269171 035 $a(DE-B1597)9780674075986 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL3301313 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10713640 035 $a(EXLCZ)992670000000368510 100 $a20121101d2013 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurnn#---|u||u 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aTychomancy$b[electronic resource] $einferring probability from causal structure /$fMichael Strevens 210 $aCambridge, Mass. $cHarvard University Press$d2013 215 $a1 online resource (280 p.) 300 $aDescription based upon print version of record. 311 0 $a0-674-07311-8 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references and index. 327 $tFront matter --$tCONTENTS --$tFIGURES --$tAUTHOR'S NOTE --$tPHYSICAL INTUITION --$tI. 1859 --$t1. THE APRIORIST --$t2. THE HISTORICAL WAY --$t3. THE LOGICAL WAY --$t4 THE COGNITIVE WAY --$tII. EQUIDYNAMICS --$t5. STIRRING --$t6. SHAKING --$t7. BOUNCING --$t8. UNIFYING --$tIII. BEYOND PHYSICS --$t9. 1859 AGAIN --$t10. APPLIED BIOEQUIDYNAMICS --$t11. INACCURACY, ERROR, AND OTHER FLUCTUATIONS --$tIV. BEFORE AND AFTER --$t12. THE EXOGENOUS ZONE --$t13. THE ELEMENTS OF EQUIDYNAMICS --$t14. PREHISTORY AND META - HISTORY --$tNOTES --$tGLOSSARY --$tREFERENCES --$tINDEX 330 $aTychomancy-meaning "the divination of chances"-presents a set of rules for inferring the physical probabilities of outcomes from the causal or dynamic properties of the systems that produce them. Probabilities revealed by the rules are wide-ranging: they include the probability of getting a 5 on a die roll, the probability distributions found in statistical physics, and the probabilities that underlie many prima facie judgments about fitness in evolutionary biology. Michael Strevens makes three claims about the rules. First, they are reliable. Second, they are known, though not fully consciously, to all human beings: they constitute a key part of the physical intuition that allows us to navigate around the world safely in the absence of formal scientific knowledge. Third, they have played a crucial but unrecognized role in several major scientific innovations. A large part of Tychomancy is devoted to this historical role for probability inference rules. Strevens first analyzes James Clerk Maxwell's extraordinary, apparently a priori, deduction of the molecular velocity distribution in gases, which launched statistical physics. Maxwell did not derive his distribution from logic alone, Strevens proposes, but rather from probabilistic knowledge common to all human beings, even infants as young as six months old. Strevens then turns to Darwin's theory of natural selection, the statistics of measurement, and the creation of models of complex systems, contending in each case that these elements of science could not have emerged when or how they did without the ability to "eyeball" the values of physical probabilities. 606 $aEmpiricism 606 $aInference 606 $aProbabilities 608 $aElectronic books. 615 0$aEmpiricism. 615 0$aInference. 615 0$aProbabilities. 676 $a003/.1 700 $aStrevens$b Michael$01031705 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910462798403321 996 $aTychomancy$92487075 997 $aUNINA LEADER 03071nam 2200565Ia 450 001 9910974588603321 005 20251117082415.0 010 $a1-57591-144-2 035 $a(CKB)2550000000016670 035 $a(EBL)3115917 035 $a(OCoLC)647917364 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000486576 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)12193933 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000486576 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10430340 035 $a(PQKB)11067154 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC3115917 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL3115917 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10381731 035 $a(BIP)36011746 035 $a(EXLCZ)992550000000016670 100 $a20090818d2010 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 00$aPoets at play $ean anthology of modernist drama /$fedited by Sarah Bay-Cheng and Barbara Cole 205 $a1st ed. 210 $aSelinsgrove $cSusquehanna University Press$d2010 215 $a1 online resource (353 p.) 300 $aDescription based upon print version of record. 311 08$a1-57591-128-0 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references and index. 327 $aContents; Acknowledgments; Modernist Poetic Drama: A Critical Introduction; Wallace Stevens (1879-1955); Edna St. Vincent Millay (1892-1950); H.D. (Hilda Doolittle) (1886-1961); E. E. Cummings (1894-1965); Marita Bonner (1898-1971); William Carlos Williams (1883-1963); Gertrude Stein (1874-1946); Ezra Pound (1885-1972); Notes; Select Bibliography; Index 330 $aPoets at Play is the first book in over thirty years to consider the dramatic and theatrical legacy of American modernist poets, making these plays accessible to students and scholars in one concise volume. This critical anthology presents selected drama by American poets writing between 1910 and 1960--Wallace Stevens, Edna St. Vincent Millay, H.D., E.E. Cummings, Marita Bonner, William Carlos Williams. Gertrude Stein, and Ezra Pound. Rather than simply treating their plays as poetic oddities, this anthology places the drama of modernist poets squarely within theater history, including production histories and considerations of staging practices, acting styles, and performance venues. The volume opens with a critical introduction to the plays within modernism and includes detailed individual introductions for each play with further reading. Sarah Bey-Cheng is Associate Professor of Theater at the University of Buffalo/SUNY, where she teaches modern drama, avant-garde theater and film, and intermedia performance theory. Barbara Cole is the Education Director for Just Buffalo Literary Center. 606 $aAmerican drama$y20th century 606 $aDrama$y20th century 615 0$aAmerican drama 615 0$aDrama 676 $a812/.508 701 $aBay-Cheng$b Sarah$0882003 701 $aCole$b Barbara$f1974-$01864114 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910974588603321 996 $aPoets at play$94470840 997 $aUNINA