LEADER 04304oam 2200673I 450 001 9910462666303321 005 20200520144314.0 010 $a1-283-97276-X 010 $a0-203-07736-9 010 $a1-135-13120-1 024 7 $a10.4324/9780203077368 035 $a(CKB)2670000000325565 035 $a(EBL)1114659 035 $a(OCoLC)827208965 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000822395 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)12319042 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000822395 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10759467 035 $a(PQKB)11318704 035 $a(OCoLC)828741381 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC1114659 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL1114659 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10650207 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL428526 035 $a(EXLCZ)992670000000325565 100 $a20180706d2013 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aProspect theory and foreign policy analysis in the Asia Pacific $erational leaders and risky behavior /$fKai He and Huiyun Feng 210 1$aNew York, N.Y. :$cRoutledge,$d2013. 215 $a1 online resource (165 p.) 225 1 $aForeign policy analysis 300 $aDescription based upon print version of record. 311 $a1-138-10793-X 311 $a0-415-65621-4 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references and index. 327 $aProspect theory, neoclassical realism, and foreign policy puzzles in Asian security -- "Why is there no NATO in Asia" revisited : U.S. alliance strategy under risk -- North Korea goes nuclear : rational decisions and risky behavior -- China's policy toward Taiwan under risk : between military coercion and political pressure -- China-Japan territorial disputes in the East China Sea : risky behavior during power transition -- Rational leaders and risky decisions : risk-taking behavior in world politics. 330 $a"Why does North Korea behave erratically in pursuing its nuclear weapons program? Why did the United States prefer bilateral alliances to multilateral ones in Asia after World War II? Why did China become "nice"--no more military coercion--in dealing with the pro-independence Taiwan President Chen Shuibian after 2000? Why did China compromise in the negotiation of the Chunxiao gas exploration in 2008 while Japan became provocative later in the Sino-Japanese disputes in the East China Sea? North Korea's nuclear behavior, U.S. alliance strategy, China's Taiwan policy, and Sino-Japanese territorial disputes are all important examples of seemingly irrational foreign policy decisions that have determined regional stability and Asian security. By examining major events in Asian security, this book investigates why and how leaders make risky and seemingly irrational decisions in international politics. The authors take the innovative step of integrating the neoclassical realist framework in political science and prospect theory in psychology. Their analysis suggests that political leaders are more likely to take risky actions when their vital interests and political legitimacy are seriously threatened. For each case, the authors first discuss the weaknesses of some of the prevailing arguments, mainly from rationalist and constructivist theorizing, and then offer an alternative explanation based on their political legitimacy-prospect theory model. This pioneering book tests and expands prospect theory to the study of Asian security and challenges traditional, expected-utility-based, rationalist theories of foreign policy behavior"--$cProvided by publisher. 410 0$aForeign policy analysis (Routledge (Firm)) 606 $aNational security$zEast Asia$xDecision making 606 $aRisk management$zEast Asia 607 $aEast Asia$xForeign relations$xDecision making 607 $aEast Asia$xStrategic aspects 608 $aElectronic books. 615 0$aNational security$xDecision making. 615 0$aRisk management 676 $a355/.03305 700 $aHe$b Kai$f1973-,$0966839 701 $aFeng$b Huiyun$f1971-$0966840 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910462666303321 996 $aProspect theory and foreign policy analysis in the Asia Pacific$92194372 997 $aUNINA