LEADER 04284nam 2200733Ia 450 001 9910462282503321 005 20200520144314.0 010 $a1-283-64571-8 010 $a1-118-22585-6 035 $a(CKB)2670000000246641 035 $a(EBL)894231 035 $a(OCoLC)801681576 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000719056 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11451081 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000719056 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10762448 035 $a(PQKB)11156161 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC894231 035 $a(DLC) 2012029905 035 $a(CaSebORM)9781118239179 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL894231 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10604354 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL395821 035 $a(EXLCZ)992670000000246641 100 $a20120720d2012 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aThink like a futurist$b[electronic resource] $eknow what changes, what doesn't, and what's next /$fCecily Sommers 205 $a1st ed. 210 $aSan Francisco $cJossey-Bass$dc2012 215 $a1 online resource (274 p.) 300 $aDescription based upon print version of record. 311 $a1-118-23917-2 311 $a1-118-14782-0 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references and index. 327 $aThink Like A Futurist: Know What Changes, What Doesn't, and What's Next; Contents; Introduction; Part One: Know-The Four Forces of Change; 1 The Four Forces of Change; 2 Resources; 3 Technology; 4 Demographics; 5 Governance; Part Two: New-The Zone of Discovery; 6 Higher Learning; REMEMBERING THE FUTURE; RE-PERCEIVING THE FUTURE; 7 Phase I: Define; BEST QUESTIONS; WHO ARE YOU? WHERE ARE YOU GOING?; WHO IS VIRGIN?; WHERE IS VIRGIN GOING?; 8 Phase II: Discover; FOUR FORCES SCAN; LIKE THAT!; POUR AND STIR; PLAY AND MAKE; DREAM AND SCHEME; 9 Phase III: Distill; MAXIMUM VALUE SCENARIO: R3OI 327 $aNOW-TO-FUTURE PORTFOLIOPLAN IN REVERSE; 10 Who Are You?; DEFINE; DISCOVER; DISTILL; THE BEST-LAID PLANS; 11 Where Are You Going?; CLICKS'S HISTORY; DEFINE; DISCOVER; DISTILL; Part Three: DO-The 5 Percent Rule; 12 The 5 Percent Rule; 13 Tinkering: The Genesis of General Mills's Idea Greenhouse; PUSH: A CATALYST; NINETY-NINE PERCENT PERSPIRATION; THE FIRST MOVABLE PIECE; TINKERING. AGAIN.; FROM PHILOSOPHY TO PRACTICE; IDEA GREENHOUSE: STRUCTURE; BUILDING "TO TOLERANCE"; THE 5 PERCENT RULE; R3OI; "DO DILIGENCE"; A CULTURE OF FUTURISTS; THE IDEA GREENHOUSE LEGACY; Conclusion 327 $aPart Four: What's Next ToolkitThe Futurist's Mind-set; DROP ASSUMPTIONS AND AGENDAS; PRACTICE CURIOSITY AND COURAGE; SAVE "HOW" FOR LAST; BE COMFORTABLE WITH AMBIGUITY; SUSPEND JUDGMENT; Overcoming Resistance to Change; FINDING FAULT (BLAME); ARGUING WITH REALITY (DENIAL); NEEDING TO KNOW THE ANSWER (FEAR); FOCUSING ON BUSYNESS (AVOIDANCE); WHINING (INACTION); FEELING STUCK (RESIGNATION); Notes; Acknowledgments; About the Author; Index 330 $aPush past resistance to discover and own new business territories Think Like a Futurist shows how to track changes, explore questions, and engage in new thinking that connects today's pressures with tomorrow's realities. Cecily Sommers shows how to apply long-term focus and strategies to needs as diverse as industry forecasts, innovation challenges, leadership development, or future-proofing a brand. By understanding intersecting potentials that one day may impact your organization, you can readily spot emerging trends and market shifts, uncovering opportunities on the horizon. 606 $aBusiness forecasting 606 $aStrategic planning 606 $aDiffusion of innovations 606 $aNew products 606 $aCreative thinking 606 $aOrganizational change 608 $aElectronic books. 615 0$aBusiness forecasting. 615 0$aStrategic planning. 615 0$aDiffusion of innovations. 615 0$aNew products. 615 0$aCreative thinking. 615 0$aOrganizational change. 676 $a658.4/0355 700 $aSommers$b Cecily$f1961-$0997709 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910462282503321 996 $aThink like a futurist$92288118 997 $aUNINA