LEADER 03267nam 2200673 450 001 9910460415503321 005 20200520144314.0 010 $a0-8131-4903-7 035 $a(CKB)3710000000334140 035 $a(EBL)1915309 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000226686 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11210205 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000226686 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10258014 035 $a(PQKB)10706520 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC1915309 035 $a(OCoLC)624308064 035 $a(MdBmJHUP)muse43925 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL1915309 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr11011686 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL690776 035 $a(OCoLC)900344659 035 $a(EXLCZ)993710000000334140 100 $a20150227h19971997 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurcnu|||||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 14$aThe presidential pulse of congressional elections /$fJames E. Campbell 205 $aSecond edition. 210 1$aLexington, Kentucky :$cThe University Press of Kentucky,$d1997. 210 4$dİ1997 215 $a1 online resource (333 p.) 300 $aDescription based upon print version of record. 311 $a1-322-59494-5 311 $a0-8131-1820-4 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references and index. 327 $aCover; Title; Copyright; Contents; List of Tables and Figures; Acknowledgments; Introduction; Part 1. Theories of Midterm Elections; 1 The Midterm Question; 2 The Premises of Surge and Decline; 3 The Propositions and Evidence of Surge and Decline; 4 The Theory of the Midterm Referendum; Part 2. The Presidential Pulse; 5 The Revised Theory of Surge and Decline; 6 Evidence from National Elections; 7 Evidence in Congressional Districts; 8 Evidence in the Electorate; 9 Surge and Decline in Subpresidential Elections; 10 The Presidential Pulse in the 1990's; 11 Reflections on the Presidential Pulse 327 $aAppendix 1 Presidential Vote and House-Seat Regressions Appendix 2 Robust Regression of National Evidence; Notes; References; Index; 330 $aAn intriguing phenomenon in American electoral politics is the loss of seats by the president's party in midterm congressional elections. Between 1862 and 1990, the president's party lost seats in the House of Representatives in 32 of the 33 midterm elections. In his new study, James Campbell examines explanations for these midterm losses and explores how presidential elections influence congressional elections. After reviewing the two major theories of midterm electoral change-the ""surge and decline"" theory and the theory of midterms as referenda on presidential performance Campbell draws up 606 $aElections$zUnited States 606 $aVoting$zUnited States 606 $aPolitical parties$zUnited States 606 $aPresidents$zUnited States 608 $aElectronic books. 615 0$aElections 615 0$aVoting 615 0$aPolitical parties 615 0$aPresidents 676 $a324.973 700 $aCampbell$b James E.$f1952-$0970850 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910460415503321 996 $aThe presidential pulse of congressional elections$92447840 997 $aUNINA