LEADER 05742nam 22007812 450 001 9910457449603321 005 20160602160824.0 010 $a1-139-12523-0 010 $a1-107-22235-4 010 $a1-283-29643-8 010 $a9786613296436 010 $a1-139-12383-1 010 $a1-139-11808-0 010 $a1-139-12874-4 010 $a1-139-11372-0 010 $a0-511-99642-X 010 $a1-139-11591-X 035 $a(CKB)2550000000056860 035 $a(EBL)775000 035 $a(OCoLC)769341738 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000538450 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11339896 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000538450 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10560425 035 $a(PQKB)10322709 035 $a(UkCbUP)CR9780511996429 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC775000 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL775000 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10502778 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL329643 035 $a(EXLCZ)992550000000056860 100 $a20110104d2011|||| uy| 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur||||||||||| 181 $ctxt$2rdacontent 182 $cc$2rdamedia 183 $acr$2rdacarrier 200 10$aLeaders and international conflict /$fGiacomo Chiozza and H.E. Goemans$b[electronic resource] 210 1$aCambridge :$cCambridge University Press,$d2011. 215 $a1 online resource (xi, 240 pages) $cdigital, PDF file(s) 300 $aTitle from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 31 May 2016). 311 $a1-107-66073-4 311 $a1-107-01172-8 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references and index. 327 $aOnline appendices -- Leaders: 1.1 The central question -- 1.2 The central argument -- 1.3 Leaders in the study of international politics -- 1.3.1 Is war costly for leaders? -- 1.4 Conclusions -- 2. Why and when do leaders fight?: -- 2.1 How leaders are removed from office -- 2.1.1 Explaining the forcible removal from office -- 2.1.2 Fighting and gambling for survival -- 2.1.3 International conflict and regular removals -- 2.2 Competing leader-level explanations of international conflict -- 2.2.1 In- and out-group bias -- 2.2.2 Evaluation -- 2.2.3 Competence -- 2.2.4 Evaluation -- 2.3 Conclusions -- 3. International conflict and the fate of leaders: -- 3.1 Introduction -- 3.2 The manner and consequences of losing office -- 3.2.1 International conflict and the fate of leaders -- 3.3 Competing risks: regular and forcible removals -- 3.3.1 Testing the hypotheses -- 3.4 Under what conditions? -- 3.4.1 Conflict and domestic political institutions -- 3.4.2 Conflict and domestic political unrest -- 3.4.3 Conflict and economic development -- 3.4.4 Conflict and economic growth -- 3.4.5 Summary -- 3.5 Conclusions -- 4. The fate of leaders and incentives to fight: -- 4.1 Introduction -- 4.2 Measuring the risk of our theory of conflict initiation -- 4.3.1 The risk of conflict initiation -- 4.3.2 Conflict outcomes -- 4.3.3 An overview of the findings from the statistical model: Regime type -- State of the economy -- International political context -- 4.4 Conclusions -- 5. Case studies: Central America 1840-1918: -- 5.1 Introduction -- 5.2 Central America -- 5.2.1 Empirical strategy -- 5.2.2 Ideology and international conflict in Central America -- 5.3 Birth pangs of independence 1840-48 -- 5.3.1 The return of Moraza?n -- 5.3.2 Malespi?n and the Liberal exiles in Nicaragua -- 5.3.3 The fall of Carrera -- 5.4 Conservatism ascendant 1849-71 -- 5.4.1 The return of Carrera -- 5.4.2 Caban?as comes to power -- 5.4.3 The National War -- 5.4.4 Gerardo Barrios -- 5.5 The return of Liberalism 1872-1918 -- 5.5.1 The rise and demise of Justo Rufino Barrios -- 5.5.2 The era of Zelaya and Estrada Cabrera -- 5.6 A problem (largely) solved: the Washington Treaty -- 5.7 Conclusions -- 6. Conclusions: -- 6.1 Summary -- 6.2 Implications -- 6.3 Conclusions -- Appendix A: data and measurement -- A.1 Archigos: a data set of leaders -- A.2 Dependent variables -- A.3 Explanatory variables. 330 $aChiozza and Goemans seek to explain why and when political leaders decide to initiate international crises and wars. They argue that the fate of leaders and the way leadership changes, shapes leaders' decisions to initiate international conflict. Leaders who anticipate regular removal from office, through elections for example, have little to gain and much to lose from international conflict, whereas leaders who anticipate a forcible removal from office, such as through coup or revolution, have little to lose and much to gain from conflict. This theory is tested against an extensive analysis of more than 80 years of international conflict and with an intensive historical examination of Central American leaders from 1848 to 1918. Leaders and International Conflict highlights the political nature of the choice between war and peace and will appeal to all scholars of international relations and comparative politics. 517 3 $aLeaders & International Conflict 606 $aPolitics and war 606 $aPolitical leadership 606 $aInternational relations 606 $aPolitics and war$vCase studies 606 $aPolitical leadership$vCase studies 606 $aInternational relations$vCase studies 615 0$aPolitics and war. 615 0$aPolitical leadership. 615 0$aInternational relations. 615 0$aPolitics and war 615 0$aPolitical leadership 615 0$aInternational relations 676 $a303.6/6 700 $aChiozza$b Giacomo$01055939 702 $aGoemans$b H. E$g(Hein Erich),$f1957- 801 0$bUkCbUP 801 1$bUkCbUP 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910457449603321 996 $aLeaders and international conflict$92489790 997 $aUNINA