LEADER 05162nam 22006494a 450 001 9910455421503321 005 20200520144314.0 010 $a0-8330-4328-5 010 $a0-585-24546-0 035 $a(CKB)111004368712810 035 $a(EBL)3031499 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000216762 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)12044338 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000216762 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10201652 035 $a(PQKB)11198457 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC3031499 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL3031499 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr2004616 035 $a(OCoLC)923689172 035 $a(EXLCZ)99111004368712810 100 $a19990209d1999 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 03$aAn ounce of prevention, a pound of uncertainty$b[electronic resource] $ethe cost-effectiveness of school-based drug prevention programs /$fJonathan P. Caulkins ... [et al.] 210 $aSanta Monica, CA $cRand$d1999 215 $a1 online resource (207 p.) 300 $aDescription based upon print version of record. 311 $a0-8330-2560-0 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 185-194). 327 $a""PREFACE""; ""FIGURES""; ""TABLES""; ""SUMMARY""; ""EFFECT PER PROGRAM PARTICIPANT""; ""Proportion of Persons Who Would Have Ever Used Cocaine""; ""Lifetime Cocaine Consumption Per User (grams)""; ""Percentage Reduction in Cocaine Use Due to Prevention Program""; ""Discount Factor""; ""Social Multiplier""; ""Market Multiplier""; ""Causation/Correlation Ratio""; ""Scale-Up Factor""; ""Overall Effectiveness (grams per participant)""; ""COST-EFFECTIVENESS""; ""Program Cost (dollars per participant)""; ""Cost-Effectiveness (kilograms of cocaine consumption averted per million dollars spent)"" 327 $a""AGGREGATE EFFECTS AND OTHER BENEFITS""""CONCLUSION""; ""ACKNOWLEDGMENTS""; ""INTRODUCTION""; ""AN ANALYSIS OF COSTS AND EFFECTIVENESS""; ""BEYOND COST-EFFECTIVENESS""; ""AN ISSUE NOT YET EXAMINED""; ""OUR FOCUS""; ""EFFECTIVENESS AT REDUCING COCAINE CONSUMPTION""; ""EFFECT ON COHORT MEMBERS PARTICIPATING IN PROGRAM""; ""Proportion of Cohort That Would Otherwise Use Cocaine""; ""Lifetime Consumption""; ""Program Effect""; ""Discount Factor""; ""Summary""; ""MULTIPLIERS""; ""Social Multiplier""; ""Market Multiplier""; ""QUALIFIERS""; ""INTEGRATING THE FACTORS""; ""Uncertainty"" 327 $a""Sources of Effect""""COST-EFFECTIVENESS AT REDUCING COCAINE CONSUMPTION""; ""DEFINING PROGRAM COST""; ""ESTIMATING PROGRAM COST""; ""ESTIMATING COST-EFFECTIVENESS AND THE IMPLICATIONS OF UNCERTAINTY""; ""VARIATION WITH THE PASSAGE OF TIME""; ""OTHER BENEFITS""; ""ESTIMATING THE EFFECT ON USE OF DRUGS OTHER THAN COCAINE""; ""Simple Program Effectiveness""; ""Other Factors""; ""Comparison of Effects""; ""SOCIAL SAVINGS FROM REDUCED DRUG USE""; ""Cocaine""; ""Other Drugs""; ""BENEFITS UNRELATED TO REDUCED DRUG CONSUMPTION""; ""NATIONWIDE IMPLEMENTATION"" 327 $a""IMPLICATIONS FOR THE CURRENT COCAINE EPIDEMIC""""IMPLICATIONS FOR FUTURE EPIDEMICS""; ""IMPLICATIONS FOR THE LEGALIZATION DEBATE""; ""CONCLUSIONS AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS""; ""MODEL PREVENTION PROGRAMS APPEAR TO BE COMPETITIVE WITH ENFORCEMENT""; ""GREAT UNCERTAINTY REMAINS ABOUT PREVENTIONa???S COST- EFFECTIVENESS""; ""THE SOURCE OF BENEFITS IS NOT WHAT MIGHT BE EXPECTED""; ""DRUG USE PREVENTION HAS BENEFITS OTHER THAN REDUCED COCAINE USE""; ""A NATIONAL PROGRAM IS AFFORDABLE BUT WILL NOT END THE COCAINE EPIDEMIC""; ""DRUG PREVENTION SHOULD BE CONDUCTED BEFORE IT IS PERCEIVED NECESSARY"" 327 $a""PREVENTION CANNOT SUBSTITUTE FOR ENFORCEMENT IN A LEGALIZATION REGIME""""THE BOTTOM LINE""; ""ESTIMATING AVERAGE LIFETIME COCAINE CONSUMPTION""; ""HISTORICAL CONSUMPTION DIVIDED BY NUMBER OF USERS""; ""CONSUMPTION PROJECTED THROUGH A MODEL OVER AN INFINITE HORIZON""; ""CONSUMPTION PROJECTED THROUGH A MODEL OVER A FINITE HORIZON""; ""ADJUSTING THE HISTORICAL APPROACH FOR YEARS OF USE""; ""STEADY-STATE ESTIMATE""; ""SUMMARY""; ""PREVENTIONa???S EFFECTIVENESS AT REDUCING MARIJUANA INITIATION"" 327 $a""RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN AGE OF MARIJUANA INITIATION AND LIFETIME CONSUMPTION OF COCAINE AND MARIJUANA"" 606 $aYouth$xDrug use$zUnited States$xPrevention$xCost effectiveness 606 $aStudents$xDrug use$zUnited States$xPrevention$xCost effectiveness 606 $aCocaine abuse$zUnited States$xPrevention$xCost effectiveness 606 $aDrug abuse$xStudy and teaching$zUnited States$xCost effectiveness 608 $aElectronic books. 615 0$aYouth$xDrug use$xPrevention$xCost effectiveness. 615 0$aStudents$xDrug use$xPrevention$xCost effectiveness. 615 0$aCocaine abuse$xPrevention$xCost effectiveness. 615 0$aDrug abuse$xStudy and teaching$xCost effectiveness. 676 $a362.29/17/0973 701 $aCaulkins$b Jonathan P$g(Jonathan Paul),$f1965-$0889404 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910455421503321 996 $aAn ounce of prevention, a pound of uncertainty$91986890 997 $aUNINA