LEADER 05077nam 2200709 450 001 9910454109603321 005 20200520144314.0 010 $a0-203-95346-0 010 $a1-136-71099-X 010 $a1-136-71097-3 035 $a(CKB)1000000000559072 035 $a(EBL)3061129 035 $a(OCoLC)922959163 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000702694 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)12278725 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000702694 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10687367 035 $a(PQKB)11107619 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC3061129 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL3061129 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10786390 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL530990 035 $a(EXLCZ)991000000000559072 100 $a20011129d2002 uy| 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aAnthropic bias $eobservation selection effects in science and philosophy /$fNick Bostrom 210 1$aNew York :$cRoutledge,$d2002. 215 $a1 online resource (241 p.) 225 1 $aStudies in philosophy 300 $aDescription based upon print version of record. 311 $a0-415-88394-6 311 $a0-415-93858-9 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references (pages 207-217) and index. 327 $a""Cover""; ""Title""; ""Copyright""; ""Dedication""; ""Contents""; ""ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS""; ""PREFACE""; ""Chapter 1 INTRODUCTION""; ""Observation selection effects""; ""A brief history of anthropic reasoning""; ""Synopsis of this book""; ""Chapter 2 FINE-TUNING IN COSMOLOGY""; ""Does fine-tuning need explaining?""; ""No a???Inverse Gamblera???s Fallacya???""; ""Roger White and Phil Dowea???s analysis""; ""Surprising vs. unsurprising improbable events""; ""Modeling observation selection effects: the angel parable""; ""Preliminary conclusions""; ""Chapter 3 ANTHROPIC PRINCIPLES: THE MOTLEY FAMILY"" 327 $a""The anthropic principle as expressing an observation selection effect""""Anthropic hodgepodge""; ""Freak observers and why earlier formulations are inadequate""; ""The Self-Sampling Assumption""; ""Chapter 4 THOUGHT EXPERIMENTS SUPPORTING THE SELF-SAMPLING ASSUMPTION""; ""The Dungeon gedanken""; ""Two thought experiments by John Leslie""; ""The Incubator gedanken""; ""The reference class problem""; ""Chapter 5 THE SELF-SAMPLING ASSUMPTION IN SCIENCE""; ""SSA in cosmology""; ""SSA in thermodynamics""; ""SSA in evolutionary biology""; ""SSA in traffic analysis""; ""SSA in quantum physics"" 327 $a""Summary of the case for SSA""""Chapter 6 THE DOOMSDAY ARGUMENT""; ""Background""; ""Doomsayer Gott""; ""The incorrectness of Gotta???s argument""; ""Doomsayer Leslie""; ""The premisses of DA, and the Old evidence problem""; ""Lesliea???s views on the reference class problem""; ""Alternative conclusions of DA""; ""Chapter 7 INVALID OBJECTIONS AGAINST THE DOOMSDAY ARGUMENT""; ""Doesna???t the Doomsday argument fail to a???target the trutha????""; ""The a???baby-paradoxa???""; ""Isna???t a sample size of one too small?""; ""Couldna???t a Cro-Magnon man have used the Doomsday argument?"" 327 $a""We can make the effect go away simply by considering a larger hypothesis space""""Arena???t we necessarily alive now?""; ""Sliding reference of a???soona??? and a???latea????""; ""How could I have been a 16th century human?""; ""Doesna???t your theory presuppose that what happens in causally disconnected regions affects what happens here?""; ""But we know so much more about ourselves than our birth ranks!""; ""The Self-Indication Assumptiona???Is there safety in numbers?""; ""Chapter 8 OBSERVER-RELATIVE CHANCES IN ANTHROPIC REASONING?""; ""Lesliea???s argument, and why it fails"" 327 $a""Observer-relative chances: another go""""Discussion: indexical factsa???no conflict with physicalism""; ""In conclusion""; ""Appendix: the no-betting results""; ""Chapter 9 PARADOXES OF THE SELF-SAMPLING ASSUMPTION""; ""The Adam & Eve experiments""; ""Analysis of Lazy Adam: predictions and counterfactuals""; ""The UN++ gedanken: reasons and abilities""; ""Quantum Joe: SSA and the Principal Principle""; ""Upshot""; ""Appendix: The Meta-Newcomb problem""; ""Chapter 10 OBSERVATION SELECTION THEORY: A METHODOLOGY FOR ANTHROPIC REASONING""; ""Building blocks, theory constraints and desiderata"" 327 $a""The outline of a solution"" 410 0$aStudies in philosophy (New York, N.Y.) 606 $aMethodology 606 $aAnthropic principle 606 $aSelectivity (Psychology) 606 $aObservation (Scientific method) 608 $aElectronic books. 615 0$aMethodology. 615 0$aAnthropic principle. 615 0$aSelectivity (Psychology) 615 0$aObservation (Scientific method) 676 $a121/.6 700 $aBostrom$b Nick$f1973-$0766005 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910454109603321 996 $aAnthropic bias$92220055 997 $aUNINA