LEADER 03918nam 2200697 450 001 9910452748003321 005 20200520144314.0 010 $a0-691-01241-5 010 $a1-4008-4920-9 024 7 $a10.1515/9781400849208 035 $a(CKB)2550000001115025 035 $a(EBL)1358582 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000985079 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)12490007 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000985079 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)11016128 035 $a(PQKB)10046385 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC1358582 035 $a(OCoLC)857769636 035 $a(MdBmJHUP)muse37083 035 $a(DE-B1597)447094 035 $a(OCoLC)1054877336 035 $a(OCoLC)922696365 035 $a(OCoLC)999361879 035 $a(DE-B1597)9781400849208 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL1358582 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10755725 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL515327 035 $a(OCoLC)857711872 035 $a(EXLCZ)992550000001115025 100 $a19960813h19971997 uy| 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 12$aA solution to the ecological inference problem $ereconstructing individual behavior from aggregate data /$fGary King 205 $aCourse Book 210 1$aPrinceton, New Jersey :$cPrinceton University Press,$d[1997] 210 4$dİ1997 215 $a1 online resource (605 p.) 300 $aDescription based upon print version of record. 311 $a0-691-01240-7 311 $a1-299-84076-0 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references and index. 327 $apart I. Introduction -- part II. Catalog of problems to fix -- part III. The proposed solution -- part IV. Verification -- part V. Generalizations and concluding suggestions -- part VI. Appendices. 330 $aThis book provides a solution to the ecological inference problem, which has plagued users of statistical methods for over seventy-five years: How can researchers reliably infer individual-level behavior from aggregate (ecological) data? In political science, this question arises when individual-level surveys are unavailable (for instance, local or comparative electoral politics), unreliable (racial politics), insufficient (political geography), or infeasible (political history). This ecological inference problem also confronts researchers in numerous areas of major significance in public policy, and other academic disciplines, ranging from epidemiology and marketing to sociology and quantitative history. Although many have attempted to make such cross-level inferences, scholars agree that all existing methods yield very inaccurate conclusions about the world. In this volume, Gary King lays out a unique--and reliable--solution to this venerable problem. King begins with a qualitative overview, readable even by those without a statistical background. He then unifies the apparently diverse findings in the methodological literature, so that only one aggregation problem remains to be solved. He then presents his solution, as well as empirical evaluations of the solution that include over 16,000 comparisons of his estimates from real aggregate data to the known individual-level answer. The method works in practice. King's solution to the ecological inference problem will enable empirical researchers to investigate substantive questions that have heretofore proved unanswerable, and move forward fields of inquiry in which progress has been stifled by this problem. 606 $aPolitical statistics 606 $aInference 608 $aElectronic books. 615 0$aPolitical statistics. 615 0$aInference. 676 $a320/.072 700 $aKing$b Gary$f1958-$0144680 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910452748003321 996 $aA solution to the ecological inference problem$92490659 997 $aUNINA