LEADER 05049nam 2200697Ia 450 001 9910452738703321 005 20200520144314.0 010 $a0-8213-9769-9 035 $a(CKB)2550000001039654 035 $a(EBL)1177252 035 $a(OCoLC)840162120 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000860462 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11559957 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000860462 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10898014 035 $a(PQKB)11299542 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC1177252 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL1177252 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10685353 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL479841 035 $a(EXLCZ)992550000001039654 100 $a20121207d2013 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurcn||||||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 00$aLooking beyond the horizon$b[electronic resource] $ehow climate change impacts and adaptation responses will reshape agriculture in Eastern Europe and Central Asia /$fWilliam R. Sutton, Jitendra P. Srivastava, James E. Neumann, editors 210 $aWashington, D.C. $cWorld Bank$d2013 215 $a1 online resource (201 p.) 225 1 $aDirections in development 300 $aDescription based upon print version of record. 311 $a0-8213-9768-0 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references. 327 $aCONTENTS; Foreword; Preface; Acknowledgments; About the Authors; Abbreviations; Overview; Key Findings; Immediate Impacts of the Program; Applying This Approach Elsewhere; Organization of the Book; Notes; References; Chapter 1 Agriculture and Adaptive Capacities in Albania,Moldova, the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia,and Uzbekistan; Albania; Moldova; FYR Macedonia; Uzbekistan; Notes; References; Chapter 2 Framework and Program Design; Study Approach: Action Steps; Analytic Tools: Model Choices and Workflow; Limitations and Key Challenges; Notes; References 327 $aChapter 3 Risks, Impacts, and Adaptation Menus for Study Countries Albania Climate Risk; Moldova Climate Risk; FYR Macedonia Climate Risk; Uzbekistan Climate Risk; Common Adaptation Options across Countries; Notes; References; Chapter 4 Key Findings and Cross-Country Insights; Categories of Findings; Exposure Analysis Shows Temperatures Rising, Differing Rainfall Changes by Country; Changes in Seasonal Rainfall Will Matter Most to Farmers; Vulnerability and Adaptive Capacity Varies across Countries; Farmers More Open to Adaptation, but Limited by Capacity Constraints 327 $aImpact Assessment Predicts Lower Crop Yields and Some Opportunities Irrigation Water Shortfall Forecast in Three of Four Countries; Water-Use Efficiency, Irrigation Infrastructure Need to Improve; Adaptation Options Must Be Identified at Agro-Ecological Zone, National Levels; Farmers Looking to New, Cost-Effective Techniques; Improved Livestock Management Needed, but Crop Productivity a Higher Priority; Targeting Agricultural CO2 Nitrous Oxide, and Methane Emissions; Role of Qualitative Tools in Prioritizing Adaptation Measures, Shaping Results 327 $aRefined Policies, Capacities, and Investments Needed to Reward Farmers' Flexibility Notes; References; Chapter 5 A New Approach to Choosing and Prioritizing Adaptation Options; Model Considers Risks and Defines Adaptation Paths; Pairing Quantitative Analyses with Stakeholder Consultations to Map Out Options; Lessons Learned and Potential Applications for Model; Results; Notes; References; Appendix A Product Design and Methodology; Appendix B Glossary 330 $aAgriculture is one of the most climate-sensitive of all economic sectors. In many countries, such as the four examined in Looking Beyond the Horizon, the risks of climate change are an immediate and fundamental problem because the majority of the rural population depends either directly or indirectly on agriculture for its livelihood.The risks of climate change to agriculture cannot be effectively dealt with-and the opportunities cannot be effectively exploited-without a clear plan for aligning agricultural policies with climate change, developingthe capabilities of key agricultural institutions 410 0$aDirections in development (Washington, D.C.) 517 3 $aHow climate change impacts and adaptation responses will reshape agriculture in Eastern Europe and Central Asia 606 $aCrops and climate$zEurope, Eastern 606 $aCrops and climate$zAsia, Central 606 $aClimatic changes$zEurope, Eastern 606 $aClimatic changes$zAsia, Central 608 $aElectronic books. 615 0$aCrops and climate 615 0$aCrops and climate 615 0$aClimatic changes 615 0$aClimatic changes 676 $a632/.1 701 $aSutton$b William R.$f1967-$0912057 701 $aSrivastava$b Jitendra$f1940-$089583 701 $aNeumann$b James E.$f1962-$0912058 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910452738703321 996 $aLooking beyond the horizon$92042221 997 $aUNINA