LEADER 04234nam 2200661Ia 450 001 9910452738003321 005 20200520144314.0 010 $a0-8330-7649-3 035 $a(CKB)2550000001039455 035 $a(EBL)1365142 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000860063 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11479289 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000860063 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10896508 035 $a(PQKB)10253424 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC1365142 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL1365142 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10678770 035 $a(OCoLC)811610557 035 $a(EXLCZ)992550000001039455 100 $a20120921d2012 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurcn||||||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aCharacterizing the North Korean nuclear missile threat$b[electronic resource] /$fMarkus Schiller 210 $aSanta Monica, Calif. $cRAND$d2012 215 $a1 online resource (137 p.) 225 1 $aTechnical report ;$vTR-1268-TSF 300 $a"Supported by the Stanton Foundation." 311 $a0-8330-7621-3 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references. 327 $aCover; Title Page; Copyright; Preface; Contents; Figures; Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Abbreviations; CHAPTER ONE: Introduction; CHAPTER TWO: Missile Basics; Characteristics; Missile Components; Accuracy and Reliability; Accuracy; Reliability; Basic Facts; Missile Size; Missile Weapon System; Development and Production; Testing; Other Countries' Missile Program Experiences; CHAPTER THREE: The Problem; Known Inconsistencies; Research Question; CHAPTER FOUR: Defining Five Hypotheses About the North Korean Program; The "Reverse Engineering" Hypothesis; Hypothesis; Implications 327 $aThe "Buy" Hypothesis Hypothesis; Implications; Hypotheses Between the Two Extremes; The "Bluff" Hypothesis; The "Licensed Production" Hypothesis; The "Mixed Sources" Hypothesis; CHAPTER FIVE: What We Know; Missile; Scud B; Scud C; Nodong; Scud D; Taepodong I; Taepodong II/Unha-2/Unha-3; KN-02; Musudan; KN-08; Program; Tests and Training; Personnel; Infrastructure and Facilities; Development and Production; Numbers and Deployments; Exports; Imports; Country; General Aspects; Classification of the Missile Program; Financial, Economic, and Industrial Situation; Other Industrial Programs 327 $aLinks to Other Countries Other Aspects; CHAPTER SIX: Consistency Check; Scoring System; Evaluation Matrix; Condensed Discussion of the Matrices; Missile; Program; Country; Other Aspects; Results; CHAPTER SEVEN: Discussion; General Considerations; Reverse Engineering; Russian Support; Program Intent; Taepodong I and II; Missile Transfers; The North Korean Threat Situation; The Available Missile Arsenal; Nuclear Warheads?; Implications; Defense Issues; Policy Issues; CHAPTER EIGHT: What We Would Like to Know; CHAPTER NINE: Conclusions; Findings; Answers to the Research Questions; Implications 327 $aRecommendations APPENDIX: Details on What We Know; Bibliography 330 $aThe security community generally believes that North Korea has a relatively sophisticated guided ballistic missile program. This report questions this view and seeks to better characterize the North Korean missile threat. The author compares the available data on the North Korean missile program against five hypotheses about the program's origins, sophistication, and scale, highlighting inconsistencies. 410 0$aTechnical report (Rand Corporation) ;$vTR-1268-TSF. 606 $aNuclear weapons$zKorea (North) 606 $aBallistic missiles$zKorea (North) 606 $aStrategic culture$zKorea (North) 607 $aKorea (North)$xStrategic aspects 607 $aKorea (North)$xMilitary policy 607 $aKorea (North)$xForeign relations 608 $aElectronic books. 615 0$aNuclear weapons 615 0$aBallistic missiles 615 0$aStrategic culture 676 $a358.1/7095193 700 $aSchiller$b Markus$f1979-$0928155 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910452738003321 996 $aCharacterizing the North Korean nuclear missile threat$92085806 997 $aUNINA