LEADER 03877nam 2200601Ia 450 001 9910452619403321 005 20200520144314.0 010 $a1-4755-4839-7 010 $a1-4755-7660-9 035 $a(CKB)2550000000107534 035 $a(EBL)1606771 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000941831 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11967092 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000941831 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10963950 035 $a(PQKB)11210153 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC1606771 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL1606771 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10579620 035 $a(OCoLC)870245004 035 $a(EXLCZ)992550000000107534 100 $a20111102d2012 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aIntra-regional spillovers in South America$b[electronic resource] $eis Brazil systemic after all? /$fGustavo Adler and Sebastia?n Sosa 210 $aWashington, D.C. $cInternational Monetary Fund$dc2012 215 $a1 online resource (23 p.) 225 1 $aIMF working paper ;$v12/145 300 $aDescription based upon print version of record. 311 $a1-4755-2412-9 311 $a1-4755-0408-X 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references. 327 $aCover; Contents; I. Introduction; Figures; 1. Latin America's Large Neighbors, 2010; Tables; 1. Business Cycle Comovement with Large Neighbors, 1990:Q1-2011:Q4; II. Export Linkages with Brazil; 2. South America: Exports of Goods by Region, 1990-2010; 3. South America: Intra-Regional Exports of Goods 1990-2010; III. How Important are Spillovers from Brazil? A VAR Approach; 4. South America's Exports: Exposure to Brazil, 1990-2010; 5. Export Performance in Brazil's Neighbors, 1990-2011; A. Impact of Brazil-Idiosyncratic Shocks; 6. Output Response to a Shock to Brazil's Output 327 $aB. Amplification of Global Shocks2. Cumulative Impact on Output; 7. Output Response to a VIX Shock: Brazil's Amplifying Role; C. Variance Decomposition Analysis; IV. The Impact of Brazilian Real Depreciations; 8. Variance Decomposition of Output; 9. Real Exchange Rate Depreciation in Brazil: Export Performance in Southern Cone Neighbors; V. Conclusions; 10. Responses to a Shock to Brazil's Real Exchange Rate; Appendix Figures; 1. South America: Exports of Goods by Region, 1990-2010 (Percent of Total Exports); 2. South America: Exports of Goods by Region, 1990-2010 (Percent of GDP) 327 $a3. Output Response to a Shock to Global Output4. Output Response to a Shock to the VIX; 5. Output Response to a Shock to Commodity Prices; 6. Output Response to a Shock to Argentina's Output; 7. Real Exchange Rate Depreciation in Brazil: Export Performance in Southern Cone Neighbors; References 330 $aShocks stemming from Brazil - the large neighbor in South America - have historically been a source of concern for policy-makers in other countries of the region. This paper studies the importance of Brazil's influence on its neighboring economies, documenting trade linkages over the last two decades and quantifying spillover effects in a Vector Auto Regression setting. While trade linkages with Brazil are significant for the Southern Cone countries (Argentina, Bolivia, Chile, Paraguay, and Uruguay), they are very weak for others. Consistent with this evidence, econometric results show that, w 410 0$aIMF working paper ;$v12/145. 606 $aInvestments, Foreign$zBrazil 607 $aBrazil$xForeign economic relations 608 $aElectronic books. 615 0$aInvestments, Foreign 700 $aAdler$b Gustavo$f1974-$0866245 701 $aSosa$b Sebastian$0867567 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910452619403321 996 $aIntra-regional spillovers in South America$92067659 997 $aUNINA