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010   $a9786611209339
010   $a0-309-11569-8
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100   $a20090908d2008      uy             0
101 0 $aeng
135   $aurcn|||||||||
181   $ctxt
182   $cc
183   $acr
200 10$aReview of CCSP draft synthesis and assessment product 5.3$b[electronic resource] $edecison-support experiments and evaluations using seasonal to interannual forecasts and observational data : panel to review CCSP draft synthesis and assessment product 5.3 : decision-support experiments and evaluations using seasonal to interannual forecasts and observational data /$fNational Research Council of the National Academies
210   $aWashington, D.C. $cNational Academies Press$dc2008
215   $a1 online resource (56 p.)
300   $aDescription based upon print version of record.
311   $a0-309-11568-X 
320   $aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 40-42).
327   $a""Front matter""; ""CONTENTS""; ""EXECUTIVE SUMMARY""; ""1  INTRODUCTION""; ""2  OVERVIEW ISSUES""; ""3  RESPONSIVENESS TO PROSPECTUS QUESTIONS""; ""4  SUPPORT FOR FINDINGS AND RECOMMENDATIONS""; ""5  ORGANIZATION AND ACCESSIBILITY""; ""References""; ""APPENDIX A   Topics for Synthesis and Assessment Products of the U.S. Climate Change Science Program""; ""APPENDIX B   Biographical Sketches of Panel Members and Staff""
330   $aThis study offered an independent peer review for a synthetic document being produced for the CCSP. It found the draft document to be in a fairly early stage of development and noted several issues needing attention in the revision. The draft was inconsistent across sections with respect to whether or not it accepted two assumptions: that more skillful forecasts necessarily have greater value, and that the most useful form of information is a projected future value of an outcome parameter with an uncertainty distribution. Available scientific evidence gives reason to question these assumptions, and the draft did not discuss the evidence. Among other issues needing attention, the review called for the revised draft to do more to substantiate its claims of the potential benefits of knowledge-action networks and to give more careful consideration to the appropriate balance of roles between governmental and private efforts.
606   $aClimatology$xResearch$zUnited States$xEvaluation
606   $aClimatic changes$xRisk assessment
606   $aAtmospheric carbon dioxide$xEnvironmental aspects
608   $aElectronic books.
615  0$aClimatology$xResearch$xEvaluation.
615  0$aClimatic changes$xRisk assessment.
615  0$aAtmospheric carbon dioxide$xEnvironmental aspects.
676   $a551.5
712 02$aNational Research Council (U.S.).$bPanel to Review CCSP Draft Synthesis and Assessment Product 5.3: Decision-Support Experiments and Evaluations Using Seasonal to Interannual Forecasts and Observational Data.
712 02$aNational Research Council (U.S.).$bCommittee on the Human Dimensions of Global Change.
712 02$aNational Research Council (U.S.).$bCenter for Economic, Governance, and International Studies.
712 02$aNational Research Council (U.S.).$bDivision of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education.
801  0$bMiAaPQ
801  1$bMiAaPQ
801  2$bMiAaPQ
906   $aBOOK
912   $a9910451960803321
996   $aReview of CCSP draft synthesis and assessment product 5.3$92447870
997   $aUNINA