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100   $a20130930d2013      u|         0
101 0 $aeng
135   $aur|n|---|||||
181   $ctxt
182   $cc
183   $acr
200 10$aModeling Conflict Dynamics with Spatio-temporal Data /$fby Andrew Zammit-Mangion, Michael Dewar, Visakan Kadirkamanathan, Anaïd Flesken, Guido Sanguinetti
205   $a1st ed. 2013.
210  1$aCham :$cSpringer International Publishing :$cImprint: Springer,$d2013.
215   $a1 online resource (82 p.)
225 1 $aSpringerBriefs in Mathematical Methods,$x2365-0834
300   $aDescription based upon print version of record.
311 08$a3-319-01037-9 
320   $aIncludes bibliographical references and index.
327   $aConflict Data Sets and Point Patterns -- Theory -- Modelling and Prediction in Conflict: Afghanistan.
330   $aThis authored monograph presents the use of dynamic spatiotemporal modeling tools for the identification of complex underlying processes in conflict, such as diffusion, relocation, heterogeneous escalation, and volatility. The authors use ideas from statistics, signal processing, and ecology, and provide a predictive framework which is able to assimilate data and give confidence estimates on the predictions. The book also demonstrates the methods on the WikiLeaks Afghan War Diary, the results showing that this approach allows deeper insights into conflict dynamics and allows a strikingly statistically accurate forward prediction of armed opposition group activity in 2010, based solely on data from preceding years. The target audience primarily comprises researchers and practitioners in the involved fields but the book may also be beneficial for graduate students.
410  0$aSpringerBriefs in Mathematical Methods,$x2365-0834
606   $aSystem theory
606   $aMathematics
606   $aSocial sciences
606   $aDynamics
606   $aNonlinear theories
606   $aProbabilities
606   $aSignal processing
606   $aComplex Systems
606   $aMathematics in the Humanities and Social Sciences
606   $aApplied Dynamical Systems
606   $aProbability Theory
606   $aSignal, Speech and Image Processing
615  0$aSystem theory.
615  0$aMathematics.
615  0$aSocial sciences.
615  0$aDynamics.
615  0$aNonlinear theories.
615  0$aProbabilities.
615  0$aSignal processing.
615 14$aComplex Systems.
615 24$aMathematics in the Humanities and Social Sciences.
615 24$aApplied Dynamical Systems.
615 24$aProbability Theory.
615 24$aSignal, Speech and Image Processing.
676   $a355.02
676   $a355.020727
700   $aZammit-Mangion$b Andrew$4aut$4http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut$0785870
702   $aDewar$b Michael$4aut$4http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut
702   $aKadirkamanathan$b Visakan$4aut$4http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut
702   $aFlesken$b Anaïd$4aut$4http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut
702   $aSanguinetti$b Guido$4aut$4http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut
906   $aBOOK
912   $a9910438031203321
996   $aModeling Conflict Dynamics with Spatio-temporal Data$92510961
997   $aUNINA