LEADER 02991nam 2200601 a 450 001 9910437975503321 005 20200520144314.0 010 $a1-299-19786-8 010 $a3-642-35060-7 024 7 $a10.1007/978-3-642-35060-3 035 $a(CKB)2670000000328017 035 $a(EBL)1082872 035 $a(OCoLC)826853749 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000878401 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11435955 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000878401 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10836150 035 $a(PQKB)10725435 035 $a(DE-He213)978-3-642-35060-3 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC1082872 035 $a(PPN)168327929 035 $a(EXLCZ)992670000000328017 100 $a20121107d2013 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aAdvanced statistical methods for astrophysical probes of cosmology $edoctoral thesis accepted by the Astrophysics Group of Imperial College London /$fMarisa Cristina March 205 $a1st ed. 2013. 210 $aNew York $cSpringer$d2013 215 $a1 online resource (191 p.) 225 1 $aSpringer theses : recognizing outstanding Ph.D. research,$x2190-5053 300 $aDescription based upon print version of record. 311 $a3-642-44454-7 311 $a3-642-35059-3 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references and index. 327 $aIntroduction -- Cosmology background -- Dark energy and apparent late time acceleration -- Supernovae Ia -- Statistical techniques -- Bayesian Doubt: Should we doubt the Cosmological Constant? -- Bayesian parameter inference for SNeIa data -- Robustness to Systematic Error for Future Dark Energy Probes -- Summary and Conclusions -- Index. 330 $aThis thesis explores advanced Bayesian statistical methods for extracting key information for cosmological model selection, parameter inference and forecasting from astrophysical observations. Bayesian model selection provides a measure of how good models in a set are relative to each other - but what if the best model is missing and not included in the set? Bayesian Doubt is an approach which addresses this problem and seeks to deliver an absolute rather than a relative measure of how good a model is.   Supernovae type Ia were the first astrophysical observations to indicate the late time acceleration of the Universe - this work presents a detailed Bayesian Hierarchical Model to infer the cosmological parameters (in particular dark energy) from observations of these supernovae type Ia. 410 0$aSpringer theses. 606 $aAstrophysics 606 $aCosmology 615 0$aAstrophysics. 615 0$aCosmology. 676 $a523.101 700 $aMarch$b Marisa Cristina$0858466 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910437975503321 996 $aAdvanced Statistical Methods for Astrophysical Probes of Cosmology$91916495 997 $aUNINA