LEADER 06079nam 22007935 450 001 9910338030203321 005 20220525091759.0 010 $a3-319-90017-X 024 7 $a10.1007/978-3-319-90017-9 035 $a(CKB)4100000005679071 035 $a(DE-He213)978-3-319-90017-9 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC5493993 035 $a(PPN)259466921 035 $a(EXLCZ)994100000005679071 100 $a20180815d2019 u| 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurnn#008mamaa 181 $ctxt$2rdacontent 182 $cc$2rdamedia 183 $acr$2rdacarrier 200 10$aBusiness Cycles in BRICS /$fedited by Sergey Smirnov, Ataman Ozyildirim, Paulo Picchetti 205 $a1st ed. 2019. 210 1$aCham :$cSpringer International Publishing :$cImprint: Springer,$d2019. 215 $a1 online resource (XI, 513 p. 137 illus., 78 illus. in color.) 225 1 $aSocieties and Political Orders in Transition,$x2511-2201 311 $a3-319-90016-1 327 $a1. Introduction. Part I. The Global Economy and BRICS -- 2. BRICS in the Global Economy -- 3. Institutions, Productivity Change and Growth -- 4. The Connectedness of Business Cycles between the BRICS -- Part II. History and Driving Forces of Economic Cycles in BRICS -- 5. Economic Cycles in Brazil -- 6. Economic Fluctuations and Their Drivers in Russia -- 7. Business Cycle Measurement in India -- 8. Economic Cycles and Crises in New China -- 9. China?s Economic Cycles: Characteristics and Determinant Factors -- 10. A Brief History of Business Cycle Measurement in South Africa -- Part III. Business Tendency Surveys (BTSs) in BRICS -- 11. International Tradition of Tendency Surveys -- 12. Economic Tendency Surveys in Brazil: Main Features and Uses -- 13. Russian Business Tendency Surveys by HSE and Rosstat -- 14. Business Tendency Surveys in India -- 15. Business Tendency Surveys in China -- 16. South Africa: The BER?s Business Tendency Surveys -- Part IV. Composite Cyclical Indicators for Real-Time Monitoring and Forecasting the BRICS Economies -- 17. Compiling Cyclical Composite Indexes: The Conference Board Indicators Approach -- 18. Coincident and Leading Indicators for Brazilian Cycles -- 19. Brazilian Business Cycles as Characterized by CODACE -- 20. A Bayesian Approach to Predicting Cycles Using Composite Indicators -- 21. A Survey of Composite Leading Indices for Russia -- 22. Indices of Regional Economic Activity for Russia -- 23. An Application of the Indicator Approach to Developing Coincident and Leading Economic Indexes for India -- 24. Business Climate Indices in China -- 25. Tracking Business and Growth Cycles in the Chinese Economy Using Composite Indexes -- 26. The SARB?s Composite Business Cycle Indicators -- 27. Alternative Cycle Indicators for the South African Business Cycle -- 28. Forecasting Business Cycles in South Africa -- Part V. Concluding remarks. 29. Measurement, Monitoring, and Forecasting Economic Cycles: BRICS Lessons. 330 $aThis volume focuses on the analysis and measurement of business cycles in Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS). Divided into five parts, it begins with an overview of the main concepts and problems involved in monitoring and forecasting business cycles. Then it highlights the role of BRICS in the global economy and explores the interrelatedness of business cycles within BRICS. In turn, part two provides studies on the historical development of business cycles in the individual BRICS countries and describes the driving forces behind those cycles. Parts three and four present national business tendency surveys and composite cyclical indices for real-time monitoring and forecasting of various BRICS economies, while the final part discusses how the lessons learned in the BRICS countries can be used for the analysis of business cycles and their socio-political consequences in other emerging countries. 410 0$aSocieties and Political Orders in Transition,$x2511-2201 606 $aCreixement econòmic$2thub 606 $aCondicions econòmiques$2thub 606 $aGlobalization 606 $aMarkets 606 $aMacroeconomics 606 $aEconomic history 606 $aStatistics  606 $aEconometrics 606 $aEconomic growth 606 $aEmerging Markets/Globalization$3https://scigraph.springernature.com/ontologies/product-market-codes/525010 606 $aMacroeconomics/Monetary Economics//Financial Economics$3https://scigraph.springernature.com/ontologies/product-market-codes/W32000 606 $aEconomic History$3https://scigraph.springernature.com/ontologies/product-market-codes/W41000 606 $aStatistics for Business, Management, Economics, Finance, Insurance$3https://scigraph.springernature.com/ontologies/product-market-codes/S17010 606 $aEconometrics$3https://scigraph.springernature.com/ontologies/product-market-codes/W29010 606 $aEconomic Growth$3https://scigraph.springernature.com/ontologies/product-market-codes/W44000 607 $aPaïsos emergents$2thub 608 $aLlibres electrònics$2thub 615 7$aCreixement econòmic 615 7$aCondicions econòmiques 615 0$aGlobalization. 615 0$aMarkets. 615 0$aMacroeconomics. 615 0$aEconomic history. 615 0$aStatistics . 615 0$aEconometrics. 615 0$aEconomic growth. 615 14$aEmerging Markets/Globalization. 615 24$aMacroeconomics/Monetary Economics//Financial Economics. 615 24$aEconomic History. 615 24$aStatistics for Business, Management, Economics, Finance, Insurance. 615 24$aEconometrics. 615 24$aEconomic Growth. 676 $a381 702 $aSmirnov$b Sergey$4edt$4http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/edt 702 $aOzyildirim$b Ataman$4edt$4http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/edt 702 $aPicchetti$b Paulo$4edt$4http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/edt 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910338030203321 996 $aBusiness Cycles in BRICS$92515509 997 $aUNINA