LEADER 04808nam 22006375 450 001 9910337727803321 005 20200704104106.0 010 $a3-319-93290-X 024 7 $a10.1007/978-3-319-93290-3 035 $a(CKB)4100000007127499 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC5596909 035 $a(DE-He213)978-3-319-93290-3 035 $a(EXLCZ)994100000007127499 100 $a20181107d2019 u| 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurcnu|||||||| 181 $ctxt$2rdacontent 182 $cc$2rdamedia 183 $acr$2rdacarrier 200 10$aCharting the Next Pandemic $eModeling Infectious Disease Spreading in the Data Science Age /$fby Ana Pastore y Piontti, Nicola Perra, Luca Rossi, Nicole Samay, Alessandro Vespignani 205 $a1st ed. 2019. 210 1$aCham :$cSpringer International Publishing :$cImprint: Springer,$d2019. 215 $a1 online resource (221 pages) 311 $a3-319-93289-6 327 $aPart I: How to Model Pandemics -- Infectious Disease Spreading: From Data to Models -- Data, Data, and More Data -- Data Model Integration: The Global Epidemic and Mobility -- From Data to Knowledge: How Models Can Be Used -- The Numerical Forecast of Pandemic Spreading: The Case Study of the 2009 A/H1N1 PDM -- Computational Modeling of "Disease X". 330 $aThis book provides an introduction to the computational and complex systems modeling of the global spreading of infectious diseases. The latest developments in the area of contagion processes modeling are discussed, and readers are exposed to real world examples of data-model integration impacting the decision-making process. Recent advances in computational science and the increasing availability of real-world data are making it possible to develop realistic scenarios and real-time forecasts of the global spreading of emerging health threats. The first part of the book guides the reader through sophisticated complex systems modeling techniques with a non-technical and visual approach, explaining and illustrating the construction of the modern framework used to project the spread of pandemics and epidemics. Models can be used to transform data to knowledge that is intuitively communicated by powerful infographics and for this reason, the second part of the book focuses on a set of charts that illustrate possible scenarios of future pandemics. The visual atlas contained allows the reader to identify commonalities and patterns in emerging health threats, as well as explore the wide range of models and data that can be used by policy makers to anticipate trends, evaluate risks and eventually manage future events. Charting the Next Pandemic puts the reader in the position to explore different pandemic scenarios and to understand the potential impact of available containment and prevention strategies. This book emphasizes the importance of a global perspective in the assessment of emerging health threats and captures the possible evolution of the next pandemic, while at the same time providing the intelligence needed to fight it. The text will appeal to a wide range of audiences with diverse technical backgrounds. 606 $aSocial sciences?Data processing 606 $aSocial sciences?Computer programs 606 $aInfectious diseases 606 $aSociophysics 606 $aEconophysics 606 $aEpidemiology 606 $aComputational Social Sciences$3https://scigraph.springernature.com/ontologies/product-market-codes/X34000 606 $aInfectious Diseases$3https://scigraph.springernature.com/ontologies/product-market-codes/H33096 606 $aData-driven Science, Modeling and Theory Building$3https://scigraph.springernature.com/ontologies/product-market-codes/P33030 606 $aEpidemiology$3https://scigraph.springernature.com/ontologies/product-market-codes/H63000 615 0$aSocial sciences?Data processing. 615 0$aSocial sciences?Computer programs. 615 0$aInfectious diseases. 615 0$aSociophysics. 615 0$aEconophysics. 615 0$aEpidemiology. 615 14$aComputational Social Sciences. 615 24$aInfectious Diseases. 615 24$aData-driven Science, Modeling and Theory Building. 615 24$aEpidemiology. 676 $a616.9 700 $aPastore y Piontti$b Ana$4aut$4http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut$0791923 702 $aPerra$b Nicola$4aut$4http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut 702 $aRossi$b Luca$4aut$4http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut 702 $aSamay$b Nicole$4aut$4http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut 702 $aVespignani$b Alessandro$4aut$4http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910337727803321 996 $aCharting the next pandemic$91770678 997 $aUNINA