LEADER 09528 am 22008533u 450 001 9910297044803321 005 20230621141327.0 010 $a3-631-75692-5 024 7 $a10.3726/b14161 035 $a(CKB)4100000007276942 035 $a(OAPEN)1003344 035 $a(oapen)https://directory.doabooks.org/handle/20.500.12854/37994 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC30686156 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL30686156 035 $a(EXLCZ)994100000007276942 100 $a20200115h20042004 fy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurmu#---auuuu 181 $ctxt$2rdacontent 182 $cc$2rdamedia 183 $acr$2rdacarrier 200 10$aEffects of including agricultural products in the customs union between Turkey and the EU $ea partial equilibrium analysis for Turkey /$fHarald Grethe 205 $a1st ed. 210 $aBern$cPeter Lang International Academic Publishing Group$d2018 210 1$aFrankfurt am Main, Germany :$cPeter Lang,$d[2004] 210 31$aFrankfurt am Main, Germany :$cPeter Lang,$d[2018] 210 4$d©2004 215 $a1 online resource (335 pages) $cillustrations, maps, charts; digital, PDF file(s) 225 1 $aCeGE-Schriften,$x1617-741X ; v Band 9 311 08$aPrint version: 9783631519349 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references. 327 $aCover -- List of Tables -- List of Graphs -- List of Figures -- Abbreviations -- Executive Summary -- 1 INTRODUCTION -- 2 AGRICULTURAL MARKETS AND POLICIES IN TURKEY AND THE EUROPEAN UNION -- 2.1 Introductory Overview -- 2.2 Agricultural Markets and Product-Specific Support Policies -- 2.2.1 Cereals -- 2.2.2 Other Crops -- 2.2.3 Fruit and Vegetables -- 2.2.4 Meat -- 2.2.5 Eggs and Milk -- 2.3 Non-Product-Specific Agricultural Policies -- 3 DEVELOPMENT AND STATUS OF AGRICULTURAL TRADE RELATIONS BETWEEN TURKEY AND THE EUROPEAN UNION -- 3.1 Overview of Agricultural Trade between Turkey and the European Union -- 3.2 Agricultural Trade Preferences between Turkey and the European Union -- 3.2.1 EU Preferences Granted for Agricultural Products Originating from Turkey -- 3.2.2 Turkish Preferences Granted for Agricultural Products Originating from the EU -- 3.2.3 Preferential Trade Arrangements for Non-Annex I Products -- 4 FUTURE AGRICULTURAL TRADE RELATIONS BETWEEN TURKEY AND THE EU: THE POTENTIAL INCLUSION OF AGRICULTURE IN THE CUSTOMS UNION -- 4.1 Theoretical Aspects of a Customs Union in Agriculture between Turkey and the EU -- 4.1.1 Comparative Static Effects -- 4.1.2 Dynamic Effects of Market Integration -- 4.2 Previous Analytical Work on the Integration of Agricultural Markets between Turkey and the EU -- 4.3 Institutional Aspects of a Customs Union in Agriculture between Turkey and the EU -- 4.3.1 Harmonization of Agricultural Price Policies and Prices -- 4.3.2 Harmonization of Other Agricultural Policies -- 4.3.3 WTO Aspects -- 4.3.3.1 Market Access -- 4.3.3.2 Export Competition -- 4.3.3.3 Domestic Support -- 5 QUALIFICATION AND STRUCTURE OF THE TURKISH AGRICULTURAL SECTOR MODEL FOR POLICY ANALYSIS -- 5.1 Potential Modeling Tools for the Analysis of the Extension of the Customs Union and Justification of the Chosen Model. 327 $a5.2 Overview of the Turkish Agricultural Sector Model -- 5.3 Integration into the International Trade Environment -- 5.3.1 Basic Approach -- 5.3.2 The Generation of Border Prices and the Link to the Domestic Price Level in the Base Situation -- 5.3.3 The Generation of Border Prices and the Link to the Domestic Price Level in Simulations -- 5.4 Farm Supply Model -- 5.4.1 Plant Products -- 5.4.1.1 Basic Mechanisms -- 5.4.1.2 Additional Irrigation Area -- 5.4.2 Animal Products -- 5.5 Feed Model -- 5.6 Processing Model -- 5.7 Demand Model -- 5.8 Welfare Calculations -- 5.8.1 Welfare Changes at Farm Level -- 5.8.2 Welfare Changes at the Consumer Level -- 5.8.3 Welfare Changes at the Level of the Processing Industry -- 5.8.4 Budgetary Effects -- 6 BEHAVIORAL PARAMETERS -- 6.1 Basic Approach -- 6.2 Supply Side -- 6.2.1 Plant Products -- 6.2.1.1 Determination of Own Price Elasticities and Cost Shares of Variable Inputs -- 6.2.1.2 Determination of Cross Price Elasticities -- 6.2.2 Animal Products -- 6.3 Demand Side -- 6.3.1 Estimation of Income Elasticities from Expenditure Survey Data -- 6.3.1.1 Basic Considerations on the Use of Income Elasticity Estimates Based on Cross-Section Expenditure Data for Agricultural Sector Models -- 6.3.1.2 Data Set -- 6.3.1.3 Estimation Method and Results -- 6.3.2 Development of Elasticity-Matrices of Human Demand for Each Income Quintile -- 6.3.2.1 Determination of Income and Own Price Elasticities -- 6.3.2.2 Determination of Cross Price Elasticities -- 6.3.3 Development of Elasticity-Matrices of Feed Demand -- 6.3.4 Determination of Processing Demand Elasticities -- 6.4 Estimation of Price Transmission Elasticities for Animal Products -- 7 DATA SET FOR MODEL CALIBRATION -- 7.1 Supply, Trade, and Demand -- 7.1.1 Supply -- 7.1.1.1 Standard Approach -- 7.1.1.2 Specific Cases -- 7.1.2 Trade -- 7.1.3 Demand. 327 $a7.1.3.1 Processing Demand, Seed Demand, and Waste -- 7.1.3.2 Feed Demand -- 7.1.3.3 Human Demand -- 7.2 Domestic Prices, Trade Prices, and Margins -- 7.2.1 Domestic Prices -- 7.2.2 Trade Prices -- 7.2.3 Margins -- 7.3 Base Period Policies -- 7.3.1 Tariffs -- 7.3.2 Export Subsidies -- 7.3.3 Producer Premiums -- 8 PROJECTION SCENARIOS -- 8.1 World Market Prices -- 8.2 Shifters at the Supply Side -- 8.3 Shifters at the Demand Side -- 8.4 Development of the Southeast Anatolian Irrigation Project -- 8.5 Policies and Price Formation under the Status Quo and the Liberalization Scenario -- 8.6 Policies and Price Formation under the CU Scenario -- 9 RESULTS OF POLICY SIMULATIONS -- 9.1 Effects on Agricultural Prices, Production, and Consumption -- 9.1.1 National Effects Aggregated per Product Group -- 9.1.2 National Effects per Product -- 9.1.3 Production Effects per Region and Consumption Effects per Income Quintile -- 9.2 Effects on Trade -- 9.3 Welfare Effects -- 9.3.1 Effects on Producer and Consumer Welfare -- 9.3.2 Effects on Budgetary Outlays and Revenue and Overall Welfare Effects -- 9.3.3 Effects on Welfare Distribution -- 9.3.3.1 Changes in Producer Surplus per Region -- 9.3.3.2 Change in Consumer Welfare per Income Group -- 9.4 Impact of Changes in Farmgate-Wholesale Price Margins and the Real Exchange Rate -- 10 CONCLUSIONS -- 10.1 Liberalization of the Agricultural Sector -- 10.2 Extension of the Customs Union with the EU to Cover Agricultural Products -- REFERENCES -- ANNEX -- to Chapter 3 Overview of Existing Preferences Granted by the EU for Agricultural Imports Originating in Turkey -- to Chapter 5 TURKSIM GAMS code -- to Chapter 6 Table A-6.1: Allen Substitution Elasticities of Area Allocation -- Tables A-6.2-10: Regional Price Elasticities of Area Allocation -- Tables A-6.11-19: Regional Price Elasticities of Animal Supply. 327 $aTable A-6.20: Allen Substitution Elasticities of Human Demand -- Tables A-6.21-25: Compensated Price Elasticities of Human Demand per income quintile -- Tables A-6.26-30: Allen Substitution Elasticities of Feed Demand -- Tables A-6.31-35: Price Elasticities of Feed Demand -- to Chapter 7 Tables A-7.1-A-7.4 (Base data) -- to Chapter 8 Tables A-8.1-A-8.3 (price data for scenarios) -- to Chapter 9 Table A-9: Results per product -- other Map of Production Regions in Turkey. 330 $aThe inclusion of agricultural products in the current customs union is one of the potential future steps on the road to further political and economic integration between Turkey and the EU. This book examines the effects of such integration of agricultural markets on the Turkish agricultural sector as well as on consumers and the Turkish budget. Results are compared to alternative options for Turkish agricultural policy. To this aim, a detailed partial equilibrium model of the Turkish agricultural sector is developed. The complete liberalization of the agricultural sector is found to lead to significant welfare gains compared to the maintenance of current policies. It appears that including agricultural products in the customs union results in similar results with few but significant exemptions. 410 0$aCeGE-Schriften,$x1617-741X ; v Band 9. 606 $aProduce trade$zEuropean Union countries 606 $aCustoms unions$zTurkey 606 $aCustoms unions$zEuropean Union countries 607 $aTurkey$xCommerce$zEuropean Union countries 607 $aEuropean Union countries$xCommerce$zTurkey 610 $aAgraraußenhandel 610 $aAgrarmarktpolitik 610 $aAgricultural 610 $aAgricultural Markets 610 $aagricultural sector model 610 $aagricultural trade 610 $aAnalysis 610 $abetween 610 $aCustoms 610 $aEffects 610 $aEquilibrium 610 $aEU 610 $aEuropäische Union 610 $aGrethe 610 $aIncluding 610 $aPartial 610 $aProduc 610 $aProducts 610 $aTürkei 610 $aTurkey 610 $aUnion 610 $aZollunion 615 0$aProduce trade 615 0$aCustoms unions 615 0$aCustoms unions 676 $a382.4109561 700 $aGrethe$b Harald$0902817 801 2$bUkMaJRU 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910297044803321 996 $aEffects of including agricultural products in the customs union between Turkey and the EU$92018175 997 $aUNINA