LEADER 04088nam 22006735 450 001 9910254897503321 005 20200701215017.0 010 $a3-319-32574-4 024 7 $a10.1007/978-3-319-32574-3 035 $a(CKB)3710000000837608 035 $a(EBL)4660880 035 $a(DE-He213)978-3-319-32574-3 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC4660880 035 $a(EXLCZ)993710000000837608 100 $a20160829d2016 u| 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt$2rdacontent 182 $cc$2rdamedia 183 $acr$2rdacarrier 200 10$aForesight for Science, Technology and Innovation$b[electronic resource] /$fby Ian Miles, Ozcan Saritas, Alexander Sokolov 205 $a1st ed. 2016. 210 1$aCham :$cSpringer International Publishing :$cImprint: Springer,$d2016. 215 $a1 online resource (279 p.) 225 1 $aScience, Technology and Innovation Studies,$x2570-1509 300 $aDescription based upon print version of record. 311 $a3-319-32572-8 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references. 327 $a1 Introduction -- 2 Foresight for STI - What and Why -- 3 Initiation-Scoping and Managing ForSTI -- 4 Interaction - Participation and Recruitment -- 5 Intelligence - Environmental and Horizon Scanning -- 6 Intelligence - Delphi -- 7 Imagination - Scenarios and Alternative Futures -- 8 Integration - Modelling -- 9 From Integration to Interpretation - Translating ForSTI into Strategies -- 10 Intervention and Impact - Outcomes, Action and Evaluation -- 11 Conclusion. . 330 $aDecision-makers at all levels are being confronted with novel complexities and uncertainties and face long-term challenges which require foresight about long-term future prospects, assumptions, and strategies. This book explores how foresight studies can be systematically undertaken and used in this context. It explicates why and how methods like horizon scanning, scenario planning, and roadmapping should be applied when dealing with high levels of uncertainty. The scope of the book moves beyond ?narrow? technology foresight, towards addressing systemic interrelations between social, technological, economic, environmental, and political systems. Applications of foresight tools to such fields as energy, cities, health, transportation, education, and sustainability are considered as well as enabling technologies including nano-, bio-, and information technologies and cognitive sciences. The approaches will be illustrated with specific actual cases. 410 0$aScience, Technology and Innovation Studies,$x2570-1509 606 $aEconomic policy 606 $aManagement 606 $aIndustrial management 606 $aPublic administration 606 $aOperations research 606 $aDecision making 606 $aR & D/Technology Policy$3https://scigraph.springernature.com/ontologies/product-market-codes/W43000 606 $aInnovation/Technology Management$3https://scigraph.springernature.com/ontologies/product-market-codes/518000 606 $aPublic Administration$3https://scigraph.springernature.com/ontologies/product-market-codes/W34030 606 $aOperations Research/Decision Theory$3https://scigraph.springernature.com/ontologies/product-market-codes/521000 615 0$aEconomic policy. 615 0$aManagement. 615 0$aIndustrial management. 615 0$aPublic administration. 615 0$aOperations research. 615 0$aDecision making. 615 14$aR & D/Technology Policy. 615 24$aInnovation/Technology Management. 615 24$aPublic Administration. 615 24$aOperations Research/Decision Theory. 676 $a330 700 $aMiles$b Ian$4aut$4http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut$032843 702 $aSaritas$b Ozcan$4aut$4http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut 702 $aSokolov$b Alexander$4aut$4http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910254897503321 996 $aForesight for Science, Technology and Innovation$91948528 997 $aUNINA