LEADER 03883nam 22005775 450 001 9910254886803321 005 20200704040735.0 010 $a3-319-32261-3 024 7 $a10.1007/978-3-319-32261-2 035 $a(CKB)3710000000765163 035 $a(DE-He213)978-3-319-32261-2 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC4614771 035 $a(EXLCZ)993710000000765163 100 $a20160727d2016 u| 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurnn|008mamaa 181 $ctxt$2rdacontent 182 $cc$2rdamedia 183 $acr$2rdacarrier 200 13$aAn Economic Analysis of Conflicts $eWith an Application to the Greek Civil War 1946-1949 /$fby Nicos Christodoulakis 205 $a1st ed. 2016. 210 1$aCham :$cSpringer International Publishing :$cImprint: Springer,$d2016. 215 $a1 online resource (XXI, 160 p. 25 illus., 23 illus. in color.) 311 $a3-319-32260-5 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references at the end of each chapters. 327 $aPreface -- 1 Introduction: Economic Analysis and Civil Wars -- 2 The Greek Civil War 1946-1949: Main Events and Data -- 3 Static Models of Conflict -- 4 Models of Repression and Inclusion -- 5 Dynamic Models of Conflict -- 6 Estimation of Conflict Dynamics -- 7 A Model of Intertemporal Conflict -- 8 The Economic Impact of Civil Wars: A Production Function Approach -- 9 The Comparative Economic Cost of Civil Wars -- 10 A Critical Appraisal -- 11 Data Appendix: Data Sources and Definitions. 330 $aThis book provides a quantitative framework for the analysis of conflict dynamics and for estimating the economic costs associated with civil wars. The author develops modified Lotka-Volterra equations to model conflict dynamics, to yield realistic representations of battle processes, and to allow us to assess prolonged conflict traps. The economic costs of civil wars are evaluated with the help of two alternative methods: Firstly, the author employs a production function to determine how the destruction of human and physical capital stocks undermines economic growth in the medium term. Secondly, he develops a synthetic control approach, where the cost is obtained as the divergence of actual economic activity from a hypothetical path in the absence of civil war. The difference between the two approaches gives an indication of the adverse externalities impinging upon the economy in the form of institutional destruction. By using detailed time-series regarding battle casualties, local socio-economic indicators, and capital stock destruction during the Greek Civil War (1946-1949), a full-scale application of the above framework is presented and discussed. 606 $aEconomics 606 $aHistory 606 $aDynamics 606 $aErgodic theory 606 $aEconomic development 606 $aEconomic Theory/Quantitative Economics/Mathematical Methods$3https://scigraph.springernature.com/ontologies/product-market-codes/W29000 606 $aHistory, general$3https://scigraph.springernature.com/ontologies/product-market-codes/700000 606 $aDynamical Systems and Ergodic Theory$3https://scigraph.springernature.com/ontologies/product-market-codes/M1204X 606 $aEconomic Growth$3https://scigraph.springernature.com/ontologies/product-market-codes/W44000 615 0$aEconomics. 615 0$aHistory. 615 0$aDynamics. 615 0$aErgodic theory. 615 0$aEconomic development. 615 14$aEconomic Theory/Quantitative Economics/Mathematical Methods. 615 24$aHistory, general. 615 24$aDynamical Systems and Ergodic Theory. 615 24$aEconomic Growth. 676 $a330.1 700 $aChristodoulakis$b Nicos$4aut$4http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut$0868697 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910254886803321 996 $aAn Economic Analysis of Conflicts$91939212 997 $aUNINA