LEADER 05510nam 2200901Ia 450 001 9910220159103321 005 20240520163532.0 010 $a1-282-03336-0 010 $a9786612033360 010 $a0-8330-4672-1 035 $a(CKB)1000000000718885 035 $a(EBL)423163 035 $a(OCoLC)476261126 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000173459 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11181902 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000173459 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10164852 035 $a(PQKB)11130316 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC423163 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC4969973 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL4969973 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL203336 035 $a(OCoLC)1027205953 035 $a(EXLCZ)991000000000718885 100 $a20090303h20082008 ua 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt$2rdacontent 182 $cc$2rdamedia 183 $acr$2rdacarrier 200 10$aDomestic trends in the United States, China, and Iran $eimplications for U.S. Navy strategic planning /$fJohn Gordon IV [et al.] 210 1$aSanta Monica, CA :$cRAND,$d2008. 210 4$aŠ2008 215 $a1 online resource (xxix, 202 pages) $cillustrations 225 1 $aRand Corporation monograph series. 300 $a"Prepared for the U.S. Navy." 300 $a"RAND National Defense Research Institute." 311 $a0-8330-4562-8 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 191-202). 327 $aCover; Preface; Contents; Figures; Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Abbreviations; CHAPTER ONE- Introduction and Objectives; Introduction; Study Approach; Organization of This Monograph; CHAPTER TWO- Strategic Trends in the United States; Summary; Introduction; U.S. Demographic Trends; Gross Domestic Product; The Federal Budget; Energy; Defense Spending; Conclusions; CHAPTER THREE- The United States' Near Abroad; The Current Situation; Future Trends and Possibilities in Northern South America; Future Trends and Possibilities in the Caribbean; An Overview of Future Trends in the Region 327 $aThe Special Case of Mexico CHAPTER FOUR- Strategic Trends in the People's Republic of China; The Current Situation; China's Energy Future; Macroeconomic Trends; Demographic Trends and Related Problems; Environmental Degradation; Conclusion; CHAPTER FIVE- China's Near Abroad; The Current Situation; Future Trends and Possibilities in the West; Future Trends and Possibilities in the South; Future Trends and Possibilities in the East and Northeast; CHAPTER SIX- Strategic Trends in Iran; The Current Situation; Economic Trends; Sociopolitical Trends; Environmental Trends; Conclusion 327 $aCHAPTER SEVEN- Iran's Near Abroad The Current Situation; Future Trends and Possibilities in Russian and Chinese Support for Iran; Future Trends and Possibilities in Saudi Arabia and the Gulf Cooperation Council States; Future Trends and Possibilities in Turkey and the Kurdish Independence Movement; Future Trends and Possibilities in Israel, Lebanon, Palestine, and Syria; Summary; CHAPTER EIGHT- Japan's Near Abroad; The Current Situation; Current State of U.S.-Japanese Relations; Japan's Current Relations with Its Asian Neighbors; Future Trends and Possibilities 327 $aCHAPTER NINE- Russia's Near Abroad The Current Situation; Current Russian-European Relations; Current Sino-Russian Relations; Current Russian-Iranian Relations; Current Russian-Japanese Relations; Future Trends and Possibilities; CHAPTER TEN- Conclusions; Major Future Domestic and Near-Abroad Challenges; Common Challenges; Implications; Investment Implications for the U.S. Navy; Final Thoughts; APPENDIX A- Comparisons; APPENDIX B- China's Coal Future; Bibliography 330 $aThe U.S. Navy faces uncertainty about the degree to which it will have to prepare for a high-end future conflict versus the so-called Long War. To help the Navy understand how critical near-, mid-, and far-term trends in the United States, China, and Iran might influence U.S. security decisions in general and the Navy's investments in particular, RAND examined emerging domestic and regional nonmilitary trends in each of the three countries. 410 0$aRand Corporation monograph series. 606 $aEconomic forecasting$zChina 606 $aEconomic forecasting$zIran 606 $aEconomic forecasting$zUnited States 606 $aSocial prediction$zChina 606 $aSocial prediction$zIran 606 $aStrategic planning$zUnited States 606 $aSocial prediction$zUnited States 607 $aSocial prediction$zUnited States 607 $aEconomic forecasting$zUnited States 607 $aSocial prediction$zChina 607 $aEconomic forecasting$zChina 607 $aSocial prediction$zIran 607 $aEconomic forecasting$zIran 615 0$aEconomic forecasting 615 0$aEconomic forecasting 615 0$aEconomic forecasting 615 0$aSocial prediction 615 0$aSocial prediction 615 0$aStrategic planning 615 0$aSocial prediction 676 $a359/.030973 700 $aGordon$b John$f1956-$0984821 701 $aGordon$b John$f1956-$0984821 712 02$aUnited States.$bNavy. 712 02$aNational Defense Research Institute (U.S.) 712 02$aRand Corporation. 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910220159103321 996 $aDomestic trends in the United States, China, and Iran$92872846 997 $aUNINA