LEADER 03280oam 2200541zu 450 001 9910220148603321 005 20210807004252.0 010 $a0-8330-8374-0 035 $a(CKB)3360000000476957 035 $a(SSID)ssj0001179482 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)12522544 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0001179482 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)11181131 035 $a(PQKB)10623314 035 $a(oapen)doab115235 035 $a(EXLCZ)993360000000476957 100 $a20160829d2013 uy 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurmn|---annan 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aFuture of mobility : scenarios for the United States in 2030 210 $cRAND Corporation$d2013 210 31$a[Place of publication not identified]$cRand$d2013 215 $a1 online resource 300 $aBibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph 311 08$a0-8330-8139-X 330 $a"What might one expect for the future of mobility in the United States in 2030? Mobility is defined as the ability to travel from one location to another, regardless of mode or purpose. RAND researchers used a six-step scenario development process to develop two thought-provoking scenarios that address this question. The six steps are (1) select influencing areas (domains that affect mobility directly; here, demographics, economics, energy, transportation funding and supply, and technology); (2) elicit projections on descriptors (via expert workshops); (3) integrate into scenario frameworks (using two analysis methods and a computer-based tool); (4) produce scenario narratives (based on the clusters produced by the tool); (5) draw consequences for future mobility (by estimating future growth in travel modes based on the projections); and (6) create wild-card scenarios (by looking at events that might disrupt trends). Three key drivers differentiate the resulting scenarios: the price of oil, the development of environmental regulation, and the amount of highway revenues and expenditures. In scenario 1, No Free Lunch, oil prices for consumers and business increase because of greenhouse gas-reduction legislation, and states and localities implement road pricing, which results in higher revenues. Mobility in this scenario is lower because of the higher costs of driving. Scenario 2, Fueled and Freewheeling, assumes that oil prices remain steady, no major environmental legislation is passed, and highway revenues decline, which results in generally higher mobility, especially miles driven"--Provided by publisher. 517 $aFuture of Mobility 606 $aTransportation$xForecasting$zUnited States 606 $aTransportation engineering$zUnited States 606 $aBusiness & Economics$2HILCC 606 $aTransportation Economics$2HILCC 615 0$aTransportation$xForecasting 615 0$aTransportation engineering 615 7$aBusiness & Economics 615 7$aTransportation Economics 676 $a388.0973/01 700 $aZmud$b Johanna$01093852 702 $aEcola$b Liisa 702 $aFeige$b Irene 702 $aPhleps$b Peter 801 0$bPQKB 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910220148603321 996 $aFuture of mobility : scenarios for the United States in 2030$92878774 997 $aUNINA