LEADER 03693oam 2200565z- 450 001 9910220139203321 005 20231005 010 $a0-8330-9347-9 035 $a(CKB)3710000000595138 035 $a(oapen)doab115563 035 $a(EXLCZ)993710000000595138 100 $a20160307c2015uuuu -u- - 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurmn|---annan 181 $ctxt$2rdacontent 182 $cc$2rdamedia 183 $acr$2rdacarrier 200 00$aFrom Negative to Positive Stability$eHow the Syrian Refugee Crisis Can Improve Jordan's Outlook 210 $cRAND Corporation$d2015 215 $a1 online resource 311 08$a0-8330-9087-9 327 $tPreface --$tFigures and Table --$tSummary --$tChapter One: Introduction to the Status of Syrian Refugees as of Late 2014:$gGeographic Orientation and Syrian Refugees as of Late 2014 --$gSyrian Refugees in Jordan: Late 2014 --$gMethodology --$gOrganization of This Report --$tChapter Two: Assessment of Stability and Strategic Challenges: Late 2014:$gJordan's Stability as of Late 2014 --$gSecurity from External and Internal Threats --$gPolitical Turmoil and the Impact of the Arab Spring --$gWater Shortages Contribute to Economic and Social Unease --$gEconomic and Financial Dependencies --$gExisting Refugee and Nonnational Worker Populations --$gSummary of Stability Issues as of Late 2014 --$tChapter Three: Economic Factors and Forecasted Impact:$gCurrent Economic Status and Economic Integration of Syrian Refugees --$gForecast: The Impact of Syrian Refugees on Jordan's Economic Stability --$tChapter Four: Social Factors and Forecasted Impact:$gAssessing Late-2014 Social Integration and Social Impacts of Syrian Refugees --$gForecast: Impact of Syrian Refugees on Jordan's Social Stability --$tChapter Five: Security Assessment and Forecasted Impact:$gImpact of Syrian Refugees on Jordanian Security as of Late 2014 --$gForecast: The Impact of Syrian Refugees on Jordan's Security --$tChapter Six: Conclusion, Summary Forecast, and Black Swan Warnings:$gBlack Swans --$tAbbreviations --$tBibliography. 330 $aThis report's analytic forecasts should help the United States determine how to support Jordan as it faces the Syrian refugee crisis. Jordanians are dissatisfied with many aspects of their government, but the chaos in neighboring states has thus far deterred civil or violent actions. If Jordan wisely invests international refugee support, it can increase popular opinion by improving the lives of Syrian refugees and Jordanian citizens. 517 $aFrom Negative to Positive Stability 606 $aEnvironmental policy and protocols$2bicssc 606 $aHuman rights, civil rights$2bicssc 606 $aInternational relations$2bicssc 606 $aMiddle Eastern history$2bicssc 606 $aPublic international law: treaties and other sources$2bicssc 607 $aSyria$xHistory$yCivil War, 2011- 607 $aJordan$xEconomic conditions$y21st century 607 $aJordan$xSocial conditions$y21st century 607 $aJordan$2fast 607 $aSyria$2fast 608 $aHistory.$2fast 610 $aHistory 610 $aPolitical Science 615 7$aEnvironmental policy and protocols 615 7$aHuman rights, civil rights 615 7$aInternational relations 615 7$aMiddle Eastern history 615 7$aPublic international law: treaties and other sources 676 $a362.87095695 700 $aConnable$b Ben$0924041 712 02$aRand Corporation, 712 02$aNational Defense Research Institute (U.S.), 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910220139203321 996 $aFrom negative to positive stability$92886752 997 $aUNINA