LEADER 03192nam 22005894a 450 001 9910220133803321 005 20230616235214.0 010 $a0-8330-4088-X 035 $a(CKB)1000000000474862 035 $a(EBL)784078 035 $a(OCoLC)781422353 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000279212 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11912370 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000279212 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10259882 035 $a(PQKB)11580139 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL784078 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10152641 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC784078 035 $a(EXLCZ)991000000000474862 100 $a20050510d2005 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aImplications of modern decision science for military decision-support systems$b[electronic resource] /$fPaul K. Davis, Jonathan Kulick, Michael Egner 210 $aSanta Monica, CA $cRand, Project Air Force$d2005 215 $a1 online resource (181 p.) 300 $a"Prepared for the United States Air Force, approved for Public release; distribution unlimited." 300 $a"MG-360-AF"--P. [4] cover. 311 $a0-8330-3808-7 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references. 327 $aCover; Preface; Figures; Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Acronyms; Chapter One - Introductions; Objective; Definition and Scope; Descriptive Versus Prescriptive Research; Approach in This Monograph; Chapter Two - Human Decisionmaking; How to Think About Decisionmaking; Images of the Decision Process; The Problems of Heuristics and Biases; The Naturalistic School; Military and National-Security OperationalDecisionmaking; Chapter Three - Classic Analysis Concepts and Their Evolution; Decision Analysis and Game Theory; Systems Analysis; Policy Analysis 327 $aSummary of Classic Analysis Components of DecisionScienceChapter Four - Advanced Decision Science for Analysis; Introduction; Broad Methods; Enablers; Chapter Five - the Research Frontier: Reconciling Analytic and Intuitive Considerations; Introduction; Improving Automated Decision Support; Balancing Cold and Story-Based Decision Support; General Recommendations; Chapter Six - Conclusions; The Decisionmaking Component; The Analysis Component; Appendix A - Debiasing an Air Campaign; Appendix B - Rethinking Families of Models; Appendix C - Further Discussion of Judgmental Bias and DSS 327 $aBibliography 330 $aAn overview of higher-level decisionmaking and modern methods to improve decision support 606 $aMilitary planning$zUnited States$xDecision making$xData processing 606 $aDecision support systems 615 0$aMilitary planning$xDecision making$xData processing. 615 0$aDecision support systems. 676 $a358.4/07/0973 700 $aDavis$b Paul K.$f1943-$0854843 701 $aKulick$b Jonathan$f1966-$0863716 701 $aEgner$b Michael$0863717 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910220133803321 996 $aImplications of modern decision science for military decision-support systems$91927799 997 $aUNINA