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010   $a9786612940491
010   $a0-8330-5074-5
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100   $a20100408d2010      uy         0
101 0 $aeng
135   $aur|n|---|||||
181   $ctxt
182   $cc
183   $acr
200 10$aMaking policy in the shadow of the future /$fGregory F. Treverton
205   $a1st ed.
210   $aSanta Monica, CA $cRAND$d2010
215   $a1 online resource (56 p.)
225 1 $aOccasional paper ;$vOP-298-RC
300   $aBased on a report submitted by the National Intelligence Council.
300   $a"RAND Investment in People and Ideas."
300   $aAlso available online.
311 08$a0-8330-4980-1 
320   $aIncludes bibliographical references.
327   $aCover; Title Page; Copyright; Preface; Contents; Figure and Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Section 1 - Introduction; Section 2 -  Shaping U.S. Policy for 2025; Multipolar World, Increased Role of Transnational Actors; Transfer of Wealth from West to East; The United States as the Most Powerful Absolutely, Just Less So Relatively; Unprecedented Economic Growth, More People, and More Pressure on Resources; Destabilizing Youth Bulges Diminish, but Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Others Still Problematic; Increased Potential for Conflict, Given Middle East Turbulence and Proliferating Weaponry
327   $aFewer but Perhaps More-Lethal TerroristsExcursion: The Global Economic Crisis.; Global Crisis, Global Consequences.; Hyping the Debt; National Regulation and International Cooperation.; Key Uncertainties; Section 3 - Where Might Longer-Term Thinking Change Short-Run Policy?; Right for 2025 and Right for Now; Reshaping Approaches to Energy and Climate Change.; The Context of the "Threat"; Building Capacity for Adapting.; An Agenda for Now; Fiscal Discipline After the Immediate Economic Crisis Is Passed; The Effect of Revolutions in Military Affairs; The Emerging Post-Iraq War Debate
327   $aThe Diffusion of Nuclear WeaponsThe Diffusion of Precision-Guided Munitions; War Through Cyberspace; Visions of the Nuclear Future; Reshaping International Law and Institutions; Refashioning Domestic Institutions; Whither Mexico?; Extending Long-Term Thinking; Back Cover
330   $aThe National Intelligence Council's 2008 report ""Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World"" projects what the world will look like in 2025 based on recent trends. This paper asks: How should U.S. policy adapt now to account for these trends and the future that will result from them? The author explores such issues as climate change, defense, international relations, and the structure of the federal government.
410  0$aOccasional paper (Rand Corporation) ;$vOP-298-RC.
606   $aPolitical planning$zUnited States
606   $aNational security$zUnited States
607   $aUnited States$xForeign relations
615  0$aPolitical planning
615  0$aNational security
676   $a327.73
700   $aTreverton$b Gregory F$0651023
712 02$aNational Intelligence Council (U.S.)
801  0$bMiAaPQ
801  1$bMiAaPQ
801  2$bMiAaPQ
906   $aBOOK
912   $a9910220125103321
996   $aMaking policy in the shadow of the future$92462422
997   $aUNINA