LEADER 03307nam 2200517 450 001 9910220121903321 005 20230802003008.0 010 $a0-8330-7974-3 035 $a(CKB)3360000000476894 035 $a(SSID)ssj0001048560 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)12471044 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0001048560 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)11015325 035 $a(PQKB)11524168 035 $a(WaSeSS)IndRDA00125013 035 $a(EXLCZ)993360000000476894 100 $a20200627d2012 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur||||||||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aModeling terrorism risk to the air transportation system $ean independent assessment of TSA's risk management analysis tool and associated methods /$fAndrew R. Morral [and seven others] 210 1$aSanta Monica, California :$cRAND Corporation,$d2012. 215 $a1 online resource (xxii, 146 pages) 225 0 $aRAND Corporation monograph series Modeling terrorism risk to the air transportation system 300 $aBibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph 311 $a0-8330-7685-X 327 $aIntroduction. -- RMAT adversary model. -- RMAT defender model. -- RMAT data requirements and sources. -- RMAT model performance and management. -- Supporting TSA management and investment decisions with RMAT. -- Conclusions. -- Requirements for a TSA risk assessment. -- Bibliography. 330 $aRAND evaluated a terrorism risk modeling tool developed by the Transportation Security Administration and Boeing to help guide program planning for aviation security. This tool, the Risk Management Analysis Tool, or RMAT, is used by TSA to estimate the terrorism risk-reduction benefits attributable to new and existing security programs, technologies, and procedures. RMAT simulates terrorist behavior and success in attacking vulnerabilities in the domestic commercial air transportation system, drawing on estimates of terrorist resources, capabilities, preferences, decision processes, intelligence collection, and operational planning. It describes how the layers of security protecting the air transportation system are likely to perform when confronted by more than 60 types of attacks, drawing on detailed blast and other physical modeling to understand the damage produced by different weapons and attacks, and calculating expected loss of life and the direct and indirect economic consequences of that damage. This report describes RAND's conclusions about the validity of RMAT for TSA's intended uses and its recommendations for how TSA should perform cost-benefit analyses of its security programs. 606 $aRisk management$xMathematical models 606 $aTerrorism$zUnited States$xPrevention 615 0$aRisk management$xMathematical models. 615 0$aTerrorism$xPrevention. 676 $a658.155 700 $aMorral$b Andrew R.$01241401 701 $aMorral$b Andrew R$01241401 712 02$aRand Corporation 712 02$aRAND Homeland Security and Defense Center 712 02$aNational Defense Research Institute (U.S.) 801 0$bWaSeSS 801 1$bWaSeSS 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910220121903321 996 $aModeling terrorism risk to the air transportation system$92879789 997 $aUNINA