LEADER 04103nam 2200601 a 450 001 9910220105103321 005 20200520144314.0 010 $a9786611736453 010 $a0-8330-4589-X 035 $a(CKB)1000000000535221 035 $a(EBL)357907 035 $a(OCoLC)476182859 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000224637 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11174366 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000224637 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10209785 035 $a(PQKB)11496435 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL357907 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10235180 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC357907 035 $a(EXLCZ)991000000000535221 100 $a20080131d2008 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurcn||||||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aPortfolio-analysis methods for assessing capability options /$fPaul K. Davis, Russell D. Shaver, Justin Beck 205 $a1st ed. 210 $aSanta Monica, CA $cRAND Corporation$d2008 215 $a1 online resource (203 p.) 300 $aDescription based upon print version of record. 311 $a0-8330-4214-9 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 155-163). 327 $aCover; Preface; Contents; Figures; Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Abbreviations and Acronyms; Glossary of Terminology; Chapter One - Introduction; Objectives; Structure of This Monograph; Chapter Two - Background: The Capabilities-Development Process; Context: DoD's Capabilities-Development Process; Problems with the Current Process; Historical Successes in Capability Development; Past Recommendations and Recent Changes; Chapter Three - A Framework and a Generic Terms of Reference; What Should a Capability-Area Review Accomplish?; Elements of the Generic Analytic Process 327 $aChapter Four - Tools to Enable the FrameworkSystems Engineering, Modeling, Simulation, and Analysis,and Experiments; Capability Models; Generating and Screening Candidate Options; Portfolio-Analysis Tools; Tailoring Analysis for Different Contexts; Chapter Five - A Notional Example: Global Strike; Defining Global Strike; Defining a Parameterized Scenario Space for Global Strike; Defining CONOPS and Critical Componentsfor Global Strike; Identifying, Evaluating, and Comparing Global StrikeOptions; Summary Results for Cost-Effectiveness Comparisons; Illustrative Conclusions for Global Strike 327 $aChapter Six - A Second Example: Ballistic Missile Defense Defining Ballistic Missile Defense Missions; A Parameterized Scenario Space for BMD; CONOPS and Critical Components; Framework for Portfolio Analysis; Shortfalls, Opportunities, and Surpluses for the BMD Program; Identifying, Evaluating, and Comparing BMD Options; Chapter Seven - Conclusions and Next Steps; Conclusions; Next Steps; Appendix A - Joint Capability Areas; Appendix B - Implications for Systems Engineering and Modeling and Simulation; Appendix C - RAND's Portfolio-Analysis Tools; End notes; Bibliography 330 $aThis monograph presents and illustrates in some detail an analytical framework and methodology for defense wide capability-area reviews and describes new enabling tools to support capabilities analysis and related trade off work within the Department of Defense and the military Services. The Building Blocks to Composite Options Tool (BCOT) is used to generate and screen preliminary options, and the Portfolio-Analysis Tool (PAT) enables users to evaluate in a portfolio-analysis structure those options that pass screening. Variants of the methods can be applied for analysis across capability areas 606 $aMilitary planning$zUnited States 606 $aStrategy 615 0$aMilitary planning 615 0$aStrategy. 676 $a355.6/840973 700 $aDavis$b Paul K.$f1943-$0854843 701 $aShaver$b R. D$g(Russell D.)$0891508 701 $aBeck$b Justin$0891509 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910220105103321 996 $aPortfolio-analysis methods for assessing capability options$91991285 997 $aUNINA