LEADER 04824nam 2200673Ia 450 001 9910220081003321 005 20200520144314.0 010 $a1-282-03337-9 010 $a9786612033377 010 $a0-8330-4673-X 035 $a(CKB)1000000000718902 035 $a(EBL)423180 035 $a(OCoLC)437109588 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000264949 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)12077356 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000264949 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10290827 035 $a(PQKB)11024406 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC423180 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC4970025 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL4970025 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL203337 035 $a(OCoLC)1027169133 035 $a(EXLCZ)991000000000718902 100 $a20081120d2008 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 00$aUnfolding the future of the long war $emotivations, prospects, and implications for the U.S. Army /$fChristopher G. Pernin ... [et al.] 210 $aSanta Monica, CA $cRAND Corp.$d2008 215 $a1 online resource (xxxiii, 194 pages) $cillustrations (some color), color maps, digital, PDF file 225 1 $aRand Corporation monograph series 300 $aDescription based upon print version of record. 311 1 $a0-8330-4631-4 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 183-194). 327 $aCover; Preface; Contents; Figures; Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Glossary; CHAPTER ONE- Introduction; Focus of This Study; Organization of This Report; CHAPTER TWO- What Is the Long War?; Background and Use of the Term "Long War"; CHAPTER THREE- Who Is Involved in the Long War?; Past Definitions of the Adversary; A Framework for Understanding the Participants in the Long War; Expanding the Framework of Participants Through Influence Diagrams; Conclusions; CHAPTER FOUR- What Will Affect the Way the Long War Unfolds?; Trends and Drivers of the Long War 327 $aUncertainties: The Variables That Drive Alternative TrajectoriesSummary; CHAPTER FIVE- How Might the Long War Unfold?; Generating Alternative Trajectories; The Eight Trajectories; CHAPTER SIX- What Does This Mean for the Army?; Introduction; Seven Strategies for the Long War; Responses to and Implications of the Trajectories; CHAPTER SEVEN- Observations on the Long War; Broad Observations; The Army Should Plan and Prepare to Be Involved with Aspects from Across the GTI Construct; The Army Should Consider Mission Sets That Allow for a More Proactive Effect Across the GTI Construct 327 $aThe Enduring Missions of the Force Combined with the Evolving Responses to the Long War Imply an Agile and Flexible MilitaryThe Military Should Consider the Vulnerability of the AssumptionThat Major Combat Operations Will Be Their Most Pressing Issue in the Medium and Longer Term; The Military, and More Specifically the Army, Should Plan for Potential Involvement in Medium- to Large-Scale Stability Operations and Nation Building; The Army Should Continue to Identify and Adopt Niche Capabilities to Prosecute the Long War; APPENDIX A- Short Descriptions of Ideology, Governance, and Terrorism 327 $aAPPENDIX B- The Use of Civilizational Conflict When Describing the Long WarAPPENDIX C- Interpreting the Influence Diagram; APPENDIX D- Relating Long War Strategies to Grand Strategies; APPENDIX E- Location of Oil and Natural Gas Resources; APPENDIX F- Demographic Trends and Factors; APPENDIX G- Water in the Middle East; Bibliography 330 $aThe United States is currently engaged in a military effort that has been characterized as the "long war." The long war has been described by some as an epic struggle against adversaries bent on forming a unified Islamic world to supplant western dominance, while others describe it more narrowly as an extension of the war on terror. But while policymakers, military leaders, and scholars have offered numerous definitions of the long war, no consensus has been reached about this term or its implications for the United States. 606 $aMilitary planning$zUnited States 606 $aWar on Terrorism, 2001-2009$xForecasting 607 $aIslamic countries$xMilitary relations$zUnited States$xForecasting 607 $aUnited States$xArmed Forces$xPlanning 607 $aUnited States$xMilitary policy$xForecasting 607 $aUnited States$xMilitary relations$zIslamic countries$xForecasting 615 0$aMilitary planning 615 0$aWar on Terrorism, 2001-2009$xForecasting. 676 $a355/.033573 701 $aPernin$b Christopher G.$f1973-$01235434 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910220081003321 996 $aUnfolding the future of the long war$92869483 997 $aUNINA