LEADER 03468nam 2200721 a 450 001 9910220079503321 005 20200520144314.0 010 $a1-282-94056-2 010 $a9786612940569 010 $a0-8330-5081-8 035 $a(CKB)2670000000047119 035 $a(EBL)618729 035 $a(OCoLC)686707068 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000474421 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11913296 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000474421 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10453973 035 $a(PQKB)10404285 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL618729 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10425060 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC618729 035 $a(EXLCZ)992670000000047119 100 $a20100201d2010 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurcn||||||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aWhither al-Anbar Province? $efive scenarios through 2011 /$fJames B. Bruce, Jeffrey Martini 205 $a1st ed. 210 $aSanta Monica, CA $cRAND$d2010 215 $a1 online resource (28 p.) 225 1 $aRAND Corporation occasional paper series ;$vOP-278-MCIA 300 $aReport of results of three RAND workshops held in November and December 2008. 300 $a"The research ... was conducted in the National Defense Research Institute." 311 $a0-8330-4803-1 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references. 327 $aExecutive summary -- What does the future hold for Iraq's al-Anbar Province? -- How this study was conducted -- Implications -- Major takeaways -- Study approach -- Assumptions -- Drivers -- Scenario A: Sunni fight for survival -- Scenario B: Every clan for itself -- Scenario C: Iron fist -- Scenario D: Glueless in Baghdad -- Scenario E: Path to stability -- The importance of drivers -- Indications and warnings -- Conclusions and implications. 330 $aAs U.S. forces withdraw from Iraq, significant changes can be expected throughout al-Anbar Province in security, political, economic, and even cultural relationships. RAND convened a series of three one-day workshops at which participants identified five relatively distinct futures, or scenarios, for al-Anbar that provide plausible but alternative trajectories for the province between early 2009 and the end of 2011. 410 0$aOccasional paper (Rand Corporation) ;$vOP-278-MCIA. 606 $aSocial prediction$zIraq$zAnbar (Province)$xCase studies$vCongresses 606 $aSocial change$zIraq$zAnbar (Province)$vCongresses 606 $aIraq War, 2003-2011$xInfluence$vCongresses 606 $aDisengagement (Military science)$vCongresses 607 $aUnited States$xArmed Forces$vCongresses 607 $aAnbar (Iraq : Province)$xPolitics and government$y21st century$xForecasting$vCongresses 607 $aAnbar (Iraq : Province)$xSocial conditions$y21st century$xForecasting$vCongresses 607 $aAnbar (Iraq : Province)$xEconomic conditions$y21st century$xForecasting$vCongresses 615 0$aSocial prediction$xCase studies 615 0$aSocial change 615 0$aIraq War, 2003-2011$xInfluence 615 0$aDisengagement (Military science) 676 $a956.7044/31 700 $aBruce$b James B$0905758 701 $aMartini$b Jeffrey$0905759 712 02$aNational Defense Research Institute (U.S.) 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910220079503321 996 $aWhither al-Anbar Province$92025943 997 $aUNINA