LEADER 04163oam 2200601zu 450 001 9910219980703321 005 20210807000957.0 010 $a0-8330-8481-X 035 $a(CKB)2560000000315338 035 $a(SSID)ssj0001420190 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)12518733 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0001420190 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)11417859 035 $a(PQKB)11607704 035 $a(PPN)270195386 035 $a(EXLCZ)992560000000315338 100 $a20160829d2013 uy 101 0 $aeng 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aAdapting to a changing Colorado River : making future water deliveries more reliable through robust management strategies 210 31$a[Place of publication not identified]$cRand$d2013 300 $aBibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph 311 $a0-8330-8179-9 327 $aLong-Term Water Planning and Management Under Uncertainty -- Developing Robust Management Strategies for the Colorado River Basin -- Future Vulnerabilities to Colorado Basin Water Deliveries -- Reducing Vulnerabilities Through New Management Options -- Implementing a Robust, Adaptive Strategy for the Colorado River Basin -- Appendix A: Vulnerability Analysis Example and Additional Results -- Appendix B: Basin Study Options Included in the Portfolios. 330 $a"The U.S. Bureau of Reclamation and water management agencies representing the seven Colorado River Basin States initiated the Colorado River Basin Study in January 2010 to evaluate the resiliency of the Colorado River system over the next 50 years and compare different options for ensuring successful management of the river's resources. RAND was asked to join this Basin Study Team in January 2012 to help develop an analytic approach to identify key vulnerabilities in managing the Colorado River basin over the coming decades and to evaluate different options that could reduce this vulnerability. Using a quantitative approach for planning under uncertainty called Robust Decision Making (RDM), the RAND team assisted the Basin Study by: identifying future vulnerable conditions that could lead to imbalances that could cause the basin to be unable to meet its water delivery objectives; developing a computer-based tool to define 'portfolios' of management options reflecting different strategies for reducing basin imbalances; evaluating these portfolios across thousands of future scenarios to determine how much they could improve basin outcomes; and analyzing the results from the system simulations to identify key tradeoffs among the portfolios. This report describes RAND's contribution to the Basin Study, focusing on the methodologies used to identify vulnerabilities for Upper Basin and Lower Basin water supply reliability and compare portfolios of options. The report provides a useful resource for other planners wishing to replicate or expand on the methodologies used for other studies"--Back cover. 606 $aWater resources development$xManagement$zColorado River Watershed (Colo.-Mexico) 606 $aWater-supply$zColorado River Watershed (Colo.-Mexico) 606 $aClimatic changes$zColorado River Watershed (Colo.-Mexico) 606 $aBusiness & Economics$2HILCC 606 $aAgricultural Economics$2HILCC 607 $aNorth America$zColorado River Watershed$2fast 615 0$aWater resources development$xManagement 615 0$aWater-supply 615 0$aClimatic changes 615 7$aBusiness & Economics 615 7$aAgricultural Economics 700 $aGroves$b David G$0847615 702 $aKnopman$b Debra S 702 $aKeefe$b Ryan 702 $aFischbach$b Jordan R 702 $aFischbach$b Jordan R 702 $aBloom$b Evan 702 $aBloom$b Evan 712 02$aRAND Justice, Infrastructure, and Environment (Organization) 712 02$aUnited States 712 02$aRand Corporation 801 0$bPQKB 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910219980703321 996 $aAdapting to a changing Colorado River : making future water deliveries more reliable through robust management strategies$91893159 997 $aUNINA