LEADER 03779nam 2200553 450 001 9910219974203321 005 20211005032710.0 010 $a0-8330-8255-8 035 $a(CKB)3710000000076112 035 $a(EBL)1597451 035 $a(OCoLC)868491408 035 $a(SSID)ssj0001152031 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11630808 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0001152031 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)11144701 035 $a(PQKB)11553901 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC1597451 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC3423071 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL3423071 035 $a(PPN)270259872 035 $a(EXLCZ)993710000000076112 100 $a20131218d2013 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aAddressing climate change in local water agency plans $edemonstrating a simplified robust decision making approach in the California Sierra foothills /$fDavid G. Groves [and four others] 210 1$aSanta Monica, California :$cRand,$d2013. 210 4$dİ2013 215 $a1 online resource (77 p.) 300 $aDescription based upon print version of record. 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references. 327 $aCover; Title Page; Copyright; Preface; About This Document; The RAND Environment, Energy, and Economic Development Program; Contents; Figures; Tables; Summary; Introduction; Use of Robust Decision Making to Evaluate Vulnerabilities and Adaptation Strategies; Results; How Reliable Is EID's Current Plan Under a Wide Range of Plausible Assumptions About the Future?; Under What Conditions Is EID's Current Plan Most Vulnerable?; How Can EID's Vulnerabilities Be Reduced Through Additional Management Options?; What Are the Key Tradeoffs and How Can They Inform Decisions?; Conclusion; Acknowledgments 327 $aAbbreviations1. Introduction; 2. An Approach for Addressing Climate Change by Local Water Agencies; 3. Application to Local Water Agency Planning; El Dorado Irrigation District and Its Long-Term Planning; EID Overview; EID Management Challenges and Opportunities; EID Master Plan; Incorporating Climate and Other Uncertainty into EID's Planning; XLRM Framework for Structuring Uncertainty Analysis; Relationships (R); Uncertainties (X); Management Options and Strategies (L); Performance Metrics (M); Experimental Design; Interactive Visualizations; 4. Results 327 $aHow Reliable Is EID's Current Plan Under Standard Planning Assumptions?How Reliable Is EID's Current Plan Under Alternative but Plausible Assumptions About the Future?; To Which Conditions Is EID's Current Plan Most Vulnerable?; How Can EID's Vulnerabilities Be Reduced Through Additional Management Options?; What Are the Key Tradeoffs Among EID's Strategies for Reducing Vulnerability?; How Can Expectations of the Future Inform EID Planning Decisions?; 5. Discussion; References 330 $aThis report describes an approach for planning under deep uncertainty, Robust Decision Making (RDM), and demonstrates its use by the El Dorado Irrigation District (EID). Using RDM, the authors and EID tested the robustness of current long-term water management plans and more robust alternatives across more than 50 futures reflecting different assumptions about future climate, urban growth, and the availability of important new supplies. 606 $aClimatic changes$xEnvironmental aspects 615 0$aClimatic changes$xEnvironmental aspects. 676 $a333.911 700 $aGroves$b David G$0847615 701 $aGroves$b David G$0847615 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910219974203321 996 $aAddressing climate change in local water agency plans$91899491 997 $aUNINA