LEADER 03302nam 22005774a 450 001 9910219961803321 005 20200520144314.0 010 $a0-8330-4093-6 035 $a(CKB)1000000000474864 035 $a(EBL)784081 035 $a(OCoLC)781424032 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL784081 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10152592 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC784081 035 $a(oapen)doab114618 035 $a(EXLCZ)991000000000474864 100 $a20050818d2005 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt$2rdacontent 182 $cc$2rdamedia 183 $acr$2rdacarrier 200 00$aEstimating terrorism risk /$fHenry H. Willis ... [et al.] 205 $a1st ed. 210 $aSanta Monica, CA $cRAND$d2005 215 $a1 online resource (93 p.) 225 1 $aRand Corporation monograph series 300 $a"MG-388-RC"--P. [4] of cover. 311 08$a0-8330-3834-6 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 63-66). 327 $aThe RAND Center for Terrorism Risk Management Policy; Center for Terrorism Risk Management AdvisoryBoard; Preface; Contents; Figures; Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Glossary; CHAPTER ONE- Introduction; Risk Assessment Versus Resource Allocation; Scope and Limitations; Overview of This Monograph; CHAPTER TWO- Terrorism Risk and Its Components; Threat; Vulnerability; Consequences; Risk as a Function of Threat, Vulnerability, andConsequences; CHAPTER THREE- Accounting for Uncertainty and Values in Terrorism Risk Assessment 327 $aUncertainties in the Estimation of Threat, Vulnerability,and ConsequencesReflecting Values in Terrorism Risk Management; Implications of Uncertainty and Values for Managing Terrorism Risk; CHAPTER FOUR- Two Approaches to Estimating Terrorism Risk in Urban Areas; Simple Risk Indicators: Population-Based Metrics; Event-Based Models: The RMS Terrorism Risk Model; Comparison of Population, Density-Weighted Population,and the Aggregated Estimate of Urban Area Risk Shares; CHAPTER FIVE- Evaluating the Performance of Different Estimates of Terrorism Risk; The Performance of Terrorism Risk Estimates 327 $aCHAPTER SIX- Conclusions and RecommendationsDefining Terrorism Risk; Reflecting Uncertainty in Terrorism Risk Assessment; Simple Versus Event-Based Risk Estimates; Recommendations; APPENDIX- Supporting Figures and Table; Bibliography 330 $aThis monograph provides a practical definition of terrorism risk, presents a method of estimating it, and demonstrates a framework for evaluating this method. Results support conclusions on how to improve risk-based resource allocation. 410 0$aRand Corporation monograph series. 606 $aTerrorism$zUnited States$xPrevention 606 $aTerrorism$xRisk assessment$zUnited States 606 $aFederal aid to terrorism prevention$zUnited States$xPlanning 615 0$aTerrorism$xPrevention. 615 0$aTerrorism$xRisk assessment 615 0$aFederal aid to terrorism prevention$xPlanning. 676 $a363.32 701 $aWillis$b Henry H$0904738 712 02$aRand Corporation. 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910219961803321 996 $aEstimating terrorism risk$92194761 997 $aUNINA