LEADER 03239nam 22006254a 450 001 9910219961003321 005 20200520144314.0 010 $a1-281-18091-2 010 $a9786611180911 010 $a0-8330-4248-3 035 $a(CKB)1000000000481435 035 $a(EBL)322534 035 $a(OCoLC)476119919 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000152360 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11163171 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000152360 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10321387 035 $a(PQKB)11490313 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL322534 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10225484 035 $a(OCoLC)85779281 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL4970006 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL118091 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC322534 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC4970006 035 $a(EXLCZ)991000000000481435 100 $a20060407d2007 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aExploring terrorist targeting preferences /$fMartin C. Libicki, Peter Chalk, Melanie Sisson 205 $a1st ed. 210 $aSanta Monica, CA $cRAND$dc2007 215 $a1 online resource (131 p.) 300 $a"MG-483." 311 $a0-8330-3913-X 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references. 327 $aCover; Preface; Contents; Figures; Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Glossary; Chapter One - Introduction; Chapter Two - What Drives al Qaeda's Choice of Targets?; The al Qaeda Targeting Process: Four Hypotheses; Some Observations on Rationality; Alternatives to Rational Action; Organization; Chapter Three - Hypothesis Testing: Quantitative and Qualitative Measures; Measuring Intent; Modeling Intent; Testing Hypotheses Against Past Attacks; Chapter Four - Hypothesis Testing: Al Qaeda Statements and Expert Observations; Al Qaeda's Reading of History Suggests the Leverage ofTerrorism 327 $aThe Coercion HypothesisThe Damage Hypothesis; The Rally Hypothesis; The Franchise Hypothesis; Conclusions; Chapter Five - Ramifications for al Qaeda Attack Planning in the United States; Coercion; Damage; Rally; Franchise; Is the United States Off the Target List for the TimeBeing?; Conclusions; Bibliography 330 $aAl Qaeda, the jihadist network personified by Osama bin laden, seeks a restored caliphate free of Western influence. It uses terror as its means. But how does terrorism serve the ends of al Qaeda? Understanding its strategic logic might suggest what U.S. targets it may seek to strike and why. This monograph posits four hypotheses to link means and ends. The coercion hypothesis suggests that terrorists are interested in causing pain, notably casualties, to frighten the United States into pursuing favorable policies (e.g., withdrawing from the Islamic world). The damage hypothesis posits that te 606 $aTerrorism$zUnited States$xPrevention 615 0$aTerrorism$xPrevention. 676 $a363.325 700 $aLibicki$b Martin C$0877014 701 $aChalk$b Peter$0674558 701 $aSisson$b Melanie$01053142 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910219961003321 996 $aExploring terrorist targeting preferences$92484872 997 $aUNINA