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Introduction; II. A Model of China's Banking Sector; A. Baseline Oligopoly Model; B. Calibration; III. How May Interest Rate Liberalization Change Chinese Banking?; A. The Impact of Liberalization; B. Robustness; IV. What Has Been the Experience with Liberalization Elsewhere?; Box: Key Dates in Interest Rate liberalization in China; A. Nordic Countries; B. Savings and Loan in the U.S.; C. Turkey; D. Korea; E. Lessons; V. Conclusion; Technical Appendix; References 330 3 $aWhat might interest rate liberalization do to intermediation and the cost of capital in China? China's most binding interest rate control is a ceiling on the deposit rate, although lending rates are also regulated. Through case studies and model-based simulations, we find that liberalization will likely result in higher interest rates, discourage marginal investment, improve the effectiveness of intermediation and monetary transmission, and enhance the financial access of underserved sectors. 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