LEADER 02950nam 2200577 450 001 9910164926603321 005 20170320123027.0 010 $a0-19-067699-X 010 $a0-19-067700-7 010 $a0-19-934175-3 035 $a(CKB)3710000001064466 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC4811947 035 $a(StDuBDS)EDZ0001642822 035 $a(PPN)229853579 035 $a(EXLCZ)993710000001064466 100 $a20170310h20172017 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurcnu|||||||| 181 $2rdacontent 182 $2rdamedia 183 $2rdacarrier 200 10$aIntelligence success and failure $ethe human factor /$fUri Bar-Joseph and Rose McDermott 210 1$aNew York, NY :$cOxford University Press,$d2017. 215 $a1 online resource (281 pages) 300 $aIncludes index. 311 $a0-19-934174-5 311 $a0-19-934173-7 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references and index. 327 $aMachine generated contents note: -- Contents -- Introduction -- Part One: The Theoretical Framework -- Chapter I. Surprise Attack: A Framework for Discussion -- Chapter II. Examining the Learning Process -- Part Two: The Empirical Evidence -- The First Dyad: Barbarossa and the Battle for Moscow -- Case Study I: The Failure -- Case Study II: Success: The Battle for Moscow -- The Second Dyad: The USA in the Korean War -- Case study I: Failing to Forecast the War -- Case Study II: Failure II: The Chinese Intervention of Fall 1950 -- The Third Dyad: Intelligence Failure and Success in the War of Yom Kippur -- Case Study I: The Failure -- Case Study II: The Success -- Chapter VI. Conclusions. 330 8 $a'Intelligence Success and Failure' presents a new theory in the study of strategic surprise that claims the key explanation for warning failure is not unintentional action, but rather, motivated biases in key intelligence and central leaders that null any sense of doubt prior to surprise attacks. 606 $aMilitary intelligence$xDecision making$xPsychological aspects 606 $aSurprise (Military science) 606 $aWorld War, 1939-1945$xMilitary intelligence$zSoviet Union 606 $aorean War, 1950-1953$xMilitary intelligence$zUnited States 606 $aIsrael-Arab War, 1973$xMilitary intelligence$zIsrael 615 0$aMilitary intelligence$xDecision making$xPsychological aspects. 615 0$aSurprise (Military science) 615 0$aWorld War, 1939-1945$xMilitary intelligence 615 0$aorean War, 1950-1953$xMilitary intelligence 615 0$aIsrael-Arab War, 1973$xMilitary intelligence 676 $a355.3432 686 $aPOL036000$aPOL012000$aPSY000000$2bisacsh 700 $aBar-Joseph$b Uri$01147854 702 $aMcDermott$b Rose$f1962- 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910164926603321 996 $aIntelligence success and failure$92868667 997 $aUNINA