LEADER 04124 am 22007093u 450 001 9910164341803321 005 20200702130107.0 010 $a3-662-48959-7 024 7 $a10.1007/978-3-662-48959-8 035 $a(CKB)3710000000651906 035 $a(SSID)ssj0001665786 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)16455481 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0001665786 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)15000208 035 $a(PQKB)10953237 035 $a(DE-He213)978-3-662-48959-8 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC5610580 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL5610580 035 $a(OCoLC)1078996863 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC6381169 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL6381169 035 $a(OCoLC)1291318249 035 $a(PPN)193442027 035 $a(EXLCZ)993710000000651906 100 $a20160409d2016 u| 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurnn#008mamaa 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aDemystifying Climate Models$b[electronic resource] $eA Users Guide to Earth System Models /$fby Andrew Gettelman, Richard B. Rood 205 $a1st ed. 2016. 210 1$aBerlin, Heidelberg :$cSpringer Berlin Heidelberg :$cImprint: Springer,$d2016. 215 $a1 online resource (XVII, 274 p. 62 illus., 58 illus. in color.) 225 1 $aEarth Systems Data and Models,$x2364-5830 ;$v2 300 $aBibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph 311 $a3-662-48957-0 327 $aIntroduction.-Components of the Climate System -- Climate Change and Global Warming -- Essence of a Climate Model -- Simulating the Atmosphere -- Simulating the Ocean and Sea Ice -- Simulating Terrestrial Systems -- Bringing the System Together: Coupling and Complexity -- Model Evaluation -- Predictability -- Results of Current Models -- Usability of Climate Model Projections by Practitioners -- Summary and Final Thoughts. 330 $aThis book demystifies the models we use to simulate present and future climates, allowing readers to better understand how to use climate model results. In order to predict the future trajectory of the Earth?s climate, climate-system simulation models are necessary. When and how do we trust climate model predictions? The book offers a framework for answering this question. It provides readers with a basic primer on climate and climate change, and offers non-technical explanations for how climate models are constructed, why they are uncertain, and what level of confidence we should place in them. It presents current results and the key uncertainties concerning them. Uncertainty is not a weakness but understanding uncertainty is a strength and a key part of using any model, including climate models. Case studies of how climate model output has been used and how it might be used in the future are provided. The ultimate goal of this book is to promote a better understanding of the structure and uncertainties of climate models among users, including scientists, engineers and policymakers. 410 0$aEarth Systems Data and Models,$x2364-5830 ;$v2 606 $aCivil engineering 606 $aClimate change 606 $aEnvironmental sciences 606 $aCivil Engineering$3https://scigraph.springernature.com/ontologies/product-market-codes/T23004 606 $aClimate Change Management and Policy$3https://scigraph.springernature.com/ontologies/product-market-codes/314000 606 $aMath. Appl. in Environmental Science$3https://scigraph.springernature.com/ontologies/product-market-codes/U24005 615 0$aCivil engineering. 615 0$aClimate change. 615 0$aEnvironmental sciences. 615 14$aCivil Engineering. 615 24$aClimate Change Management and Policy. 615 24$aMath. Appl. in Environmental Science. 676 $a551.6011 700 $aGettelman$b Andrew$4aut$4http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut$0903800 702 $aRood$b Richard B$4aut$4http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910164341803321 996 $aDemystifying Climate Models$92020271 997 $aUNINA