LEADER 01480nam 22003853 450 001 9910162744603321 005 20230808195242.0 010 $a0-573-30044-5 035 $a(CKB)3710000000856145 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC4569953 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL4569953 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr11262437 035 $a(OCoLC)958551603 035 $a(EXLCZ)993710000000856145 100 $a20210901d2016 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurcnu|||||||| 181 $ctxt$2rdacontent 182 $cc$2rdamedia 183 $acr$2rdacarrier 200 10$aPink Mist 210 1$aLondon :$cSamuel French Limited,$d2016. 210 4$dİ2016. 215 $a1 online resource (87 pages) 311 $a0-573-11144-8 327 $aIntro -- PINK MIST -- CAST -- Phil Dunster -- Peter Edwards -- Rebecca Hamilton -- Rebecca Killick -- Zara Ramm -- Alex Stedman -- CREATIVE TEAM -- Owen Sheers Writer -- John Retallack Director -- George Mann Director -- Emma Cains Designer -- Peter Harrison Lighting Designer -- Jon Nicholls Composer & -- Sound Designer -- Bristol Old Vic Team -- Author's Note -- GLOSSARY -- CHARACTERS -- 1. After Before -- 2. Hads' Story -- 3. Taff's Story -- 4. Arthur's Story -- 5. Home to Roost -- Sound Effects List. 676 $a823.92 700 $aSheers$b Owen$01374125 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910162744603321 996 $aPink Mist$93407014 997 $aUNINA LEADER 07155oam 22014414 450 001 9910961803103321 005 20250426110834.0 010 $a9786612844911 010 $a9781462387038 010 $a1462387039 010 $a9781452752075 010 $a1452752079 010 $a9781282844919 010 $a1282844911 010 $a9781451941715 010 $a1451941714 035 $a(CKB)3170000000055331 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000940034 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11571937 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000940034 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10947345 035 $a(PQKB)11243732 035 $a(OCoLC)694140986 035 $a(IMF)WPIEE2009253 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC1605925 035 $a(IMF)WPIEA2009253 035 $aWPIEA2009253 035 $a(EXLCZ)993170000000055331 100 $a20020129d2009 uf 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurcn||||||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aAdding Indonesia to the Global Projection Model /$fRoberto Garcia-Saltos, Douglas Laxton, Michal Andrle, Haris Munandar, Charles Freedman, Danny Hermawan 205 $a1st ed. 210 1$aWashington, D.C. :$cInternational Monetary Fund,$d2009. 215 $a57 p. $cill 225 1 $aIMF Working Papers 300 $a"November 2009." 311 08$a9781451918144 311 08$a1451918143 327 $aIntro -- Contents -- I. Introduction -- A. Background -- B. A Brief Outline of Indonesian Economic Developments Over The Sample Period -- II. Benchmark Model -- A. Background -- B. The Specification of The Model -- B.1 Observable variables and data definitions -- B.2 Stochastic processes and model definitions -- B.3 Behavorial equations -- B.4 Cross correlations of disturbances -- III. Extending the Model to Include Financial-Real Linkages -- A. Background -- B. Model Specication Incorporating the US Bank Lending TighteningVariable -- V. Confronting the Model with the Data -- A. Bayesian Estimation -- B. Results -- B.1 Estimates of coeficients -- B.2 Estimates of standard deviation of structural shocks and cross correlations -- B.3 RMSEs -- B.4 Impulse response functions -- VI. Concluding Remarks -- IV. Modifications of the Model for the Indonesian Economy -- References -- Appendix: GPM Data Definitions -- Figures -- 1. Indonesia - Historical Data [1] -- 2. Indonesia - Historical Data [2] -- 3. Indonesia - Historical Data [3] -- 4. Comparison CDS Emerging Countries -- 5. Indonesia Historical Inflation Graph -- 6. Domestic Demand Shock -- 7. Domestic Price Shock -- 8. Domestic Interest Rate Shock -- 9. Domestic Real Exchange Rate Shock -- 10. Shock to the Domestic Target Rate of Inflation -- 11. Demand Shock in the US -- 12. BLT Shock in the US -- Tables -- 1. Results from Posterior Maximization -- 2. Results from Posterior Parameters (standard deviation of structural shocks) -- 3. Results from Posterior Parameters (correlation of structural shocks) -- 4. Root Mean Squared Errors. 330 3 $aThis is the fifth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which economists have access for studying both own-country and cross-country linkages. In this paper, we add Indonesia to a previously estimated small quarterly projection model of the US, euro area, and Japanese economies. The model is estimated with Bayesian techniques, which provide a very efficient way of imposing restrictions to produce both plausible dynamics and sensible forecasting properties. 410 0$aIMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;$vNo. 2009/253 606 $aEconomic forecasting$zIndonesia$xEconometric models 606 $aEconomic forecasting$zUnited States$xEconometric models 606 $aEconomic forecasting$zEurope$xEconometric models 606 $aEconomic forecasting$zJapan$xEconometric models 606 $aInflation (Finance)$zIndonesia$xEconometric models 606 $aInflation (Finance)$zUnited States$xEconometric models 606 $aInflation (Finance)$zEurope$xEconometric models 606 $aInflation (Finance)$zJapan$xEconometric models 606 $aMonetary policy$zIndonesia$xEconometric models 606 $aMonetary policy$zUnited States$xEconometric models 606 $aMonetary policy$zEurope$xEconometric models 606 $aMonetary policy$zJapan$xEconometric models 606 $aBanks and Banking$2imf 606 $aCurrency$2imf 606 $aDeflation$2imf 606 $aEconomic theory$2imf 606 $aFinance$2imf 606 $aForeign Exchange$2imf 606 $aForeign exchange$2imf 606 $aInflation$2imf 606 $aInterest rates$2imf 606 $aInterest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects$2imf 606 $aMacroeconomics$2imf 606 $aMacroeconomics: Production$2imf 606 $aOutput gap$2imf 606 $aPrice Level$2imf 606 $aPrices$2imf 606 $aProduction and Operations Management$2imf 606 $aProduction$2imf 606 $aReal exchange rates$2imf 606 $aReal interest rates$2imf 606 $aShort term interest rates$2imf 607 $aUnited States$2imf 615 0$aEconomic forecasting$xEconometric models. 615 0$aEconomic forecasting$xEconometric models. 615 0$aEconomic forecasting$xEconometric models. 615 0$aEconomic forecasting$xEconometric models. 615 0$aInflation (Finance)$xEconometric models. 615 0$aInflation (Finance)$xEconometric models. 615 0$aInflation (Finance)$xEconometric models. 615 0$aInflation (Finance)$xEconometric models. 615 0$aMonetary policy$xEconometric models. 615 0$aMonetary policy$xEconometric models. 615 0$aMonetary policy$xEconometric models. 615 0$aMonetary policy$xEconometric models. 615 7$aBanks and Banking 615 7$aCurrency 615 7$aDeflation 615 7$aEconomic theory 615 7$aFinance 615 7$aForeign Exchange 615 7$aForeign exchange 615 7$aInflation 615 7$aInterest rates 615 7$aInterest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects 615 7$aMacroeconomics 615 7$aMacroeconomics: Production 615 7$aOutput gap 615 7$aPrice Level 615 7$aPrices 615 7$aProduction and Operations Management 615 7$aProduction 615 7$aReal exchange rates 615 7$aReal interest rates 615 7$aShort term interest rates 676 $a339.53091724 700 $aGarcia-Saltos$b Roberto$01374858 701 $aAndrle$b Michal$01197035 701 $aFreedman$b Charles$01139411 701 $aHermawan$b Danny$01815751 701 $aLaxton$b Douglas$01594457 701 $aMunandar$b Haris$0704589 712 02$aInternational Monetary Fund.$bResearch Dept. 801 0$bDcWaIMF 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910961803103321 996 $aAdding Indonesia to the Global Projection Model$94371259 997 $aUNINA