LEADER 04384oam  22011294  450 
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010   $a1-4755-5539-3
035   $a(CKB)3710000000973020
035   $a(MiAaPQ)EBC4867560
035   $a(Au-PeEL)EBL4867560
035   $a(CaPaEBR)ebr11391084
035   $a(CaONFJC)MIL974479
035   $a(OCoLC)965708322
035   $a(IMF)WPIEA2016225
035   $a(EXLCZ)993710000000973020
100   $a20020129d2016      uf             0
101 0 $aeng
135   $aurcnu||||||||
181   $2rdacontent
182   $2rdamedia
183   $2rdacarrier
200 10$aArrears to the IMF ? A Ghost of the Past? /$fAnne Oeking, Mariusz Sumlinski
210  1$aWashington, D.C. :$cInternational Monetary Fund,$d2016.
215   $a1 online resource (38 pages) $ccolor illustrations
225 1 $aIMF Working Papers
311   $a1-4755-5482-6 
320   $aIncludes bibliographical references.
330 3 $aIn this paper, we consider incidences of arrears to the IMF, focusing on protracted arrears  cases and attempt to identify determinants of their occurrence. We use narrative and formal  methods. In addition, we analyze determinants of the duration of arrears. We find that  previous arrears, reserves coverage, and institutional quality are among the main  determinants of arrears. In addition, we identify a role for political developments, including  civil unrest, which make arrears more likely to arise and to last longer. We conclude that  improved macroeconomic conditions and turnaround of political fortunes would help to  clear the currently remaining protracted arrears cases.
410  0$aIMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;$vNo. 2016/225
606   $aFinancial crises$xForecasting$xEconometric models
606   $aLoans, Foreign
606   $aEconometrics$2imf
606   $aExports and Imports$2imf
606   $aMacroeconomics$2imf
606   $aMoney and Monetary Policy$2imf
606   $aInternational Monetary Arrangements and Institutions$2imf
606   $aInternational Lending and Debt Problems$2imf
606   $aMonetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General$2imf
606   $aPrice Level$2imf
606   $aInflation$2imf
606   $aDeflation$2imf
606   $aDiscrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models$2imf
606   $aDiscrete Regressors$2imf
606   $aProportions$2imf
606   $aInternational economics$2imf
606   $aMonetary economics$2imf
606   $aEconometrics & economic statistics$2imf
606   $aArrears$2imf
606   $aExternal debt$2imf
606   $aCredit$2imf
606   $aCommodity price indexes$2imf
606   $aLogit models$2imf
606   $aMoney$2imf
606   $aPrices$2imf
606   $aEconometric analysis$2imf
606   $aDebts, External$2imf
606   $aPrice indexes$2imf
606   $aEconometric models$2imf
607   $aUnited States$2imf
615  0$aFinancial crises$xForecasting$xEconometric models.
615  0$aLoans, Foreign.
615  7$aEconometrics
615  7$aExports and Imports
615  7$aMacroeconomics
615  7$aMoney and Monetary Policy
615  7$aInternational Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
615  7$aInternational Lending and Debt Problems
615  7$aMonetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General
615  7$aPrice Level
615  7$aInflation
615  7$aDeflation
615  7$aDiscrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models
615  7$aDiscrete Regressors
615  7$aProportions
615  7$aInternational economics
615  7$aMonetary economics
615  7$aEconometrics & economic statistics
615  7$aArrears
615  7$aExternal debt
615  7$aCredit
615  7$aCommodity price indexes
615  7$aLogit models
615  7$aMoney
615  7$aPrices
615  7$aEconometric analysis
615  7$aDebts, External
615  7$aPrice indexes
615  7$aEconometric models
676   $a338.542
700   $aOeking$b Anne$01219799
701   $aSumlinski$b Mariusz$01449454
801  0$bDcWaIMF
906   $aBOOK
912   $a9910155014503321
996   $aArrears to the IMF ? A Ghost of the Past$93647745
997   $aUNINA